Persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover are positioning Miami for a peak temperature near 98–99°F on August 18, aligning with the market's leading 50.5% implied probability. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate sunny skies, southeast winds around 5–10 mph, and heat indices exceeding 105°F, consistent with the ongoing late-summer heat wave that has already produced daily highs of 94–96°F in recent days. Historical August climatology at Miami International Airport averages 89–91°F, yet current model consensus shows limited afternoon convection or sea-breeze cooling to restrain the maximum. Traders are weighting these near-term observational trends and short-range forecasts heavily, with secondary support at 96–97°F (37%) reflecting modest uncertainty from any unexpected moisture or wind shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Майами 18 августа?
98-99°F 48%
96-97°F 37%
100-101°F 13%
94-95°F 4%
$13,312 Объем
$13,312 Объем
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
48%
100-101°F
13%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F или выше
<1%
98-99°F 48%
96-97°F 37%
100-101°F 13%
94-95°F 4%
$13,312 Объем
$13,312 Объем
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
48%
100-101°F
13%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover are positioning Miami for a peak temperature near 98–99°F on August 18, aligning with the market's leading 50.5% implied probability. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate sunny skies, southeast winds around 5–10 mph, and heat indices exceeding 105°F, consistent with the ongoing late-summer heat wave that has already produced daily highs of 94–96°F in recent days. Historical August climatology at Miami International Airport averages 89–91°F, yet current model consensus shows limited afternoon convection or sea-breeze cooling to restrain the maximum. Traders are weighting these near-term observational trends and short-range forecasts heavily, with secondary support at 96–97°F (37%) reflecting modest uncertainty from any unexpected moisture or wind shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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