Latest Met Office and ensemble model guidance for London on 20 August 2026 indicate a minimum near 14–15 °C, driving the market’s concentration on those bins. Clear or partly cloudy skies overnight would promote radiative cooling after a daytime maximum around 23 °C, while a moderating westerly flow limits further drops. Recent runs show modest spread between drier, cooler scenarios favoring 14 °C and slightly cloudier or milder ones supporting 16 °C. Historical August minima in the capital average near 13–14 °C, so current guidance sits close to climatology with limited downside risk below 13 °C. Traders will watch the next 12–24 h forecast updates and any shift in cloud or wind forecasts for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 20 августа?
15°C 47%
16°C 31%
14°C 18%
13°C 16%
10°C или ниже
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
10%
13°C
16%
14°C
18%
15°C
47%
16°C
31%
17°C
4%
18°C
6%
19°C
1%
20°C или выше
1%
15°C 47%
16°C 31%
14°C 18%
13°C 16%
10°C или ниже
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
10%
13°C
16%
14°C
18%
15°C
47%
16°C
31%
17°C
4%
18°C
6%
19°C
1%
20°C или выше
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office and ensemble model guidance for London on 20 August 2026 indicate a minimum near 14–15 °C, driving the market’s concentration on those bins. Clear or partly cloudy skies overnight would promote radiative cooling after a daytime maximum around 23 °C, while a moderating westerly flow limits further drops. Recent runs show modest spread between drier, cooler scenarios favoring 14 °C and slightly cloudier or milder ones supporting 16 °C. Historical August minima in the capital average near 13–14 °C, so current guidance sits close to climatology with limited downside risk below 13 °C. Traders will watch the next 12–24 h forecast updates and any shift in cloud or wind forecasts for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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