Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather point to above-average nighttime temperatures for London on August 19, driven by a mild southwesterly airflow and increased cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustering around 15–17°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 17°C (56%) and 16°C (25.5%). Recent seasonal outlooks highlighting warmer-than-normal UK conditions this August, combined with limited clear-sky windows in the latest model runs, reinforce trader consensus around these values. Historical August lows average near 13–14°C, but the current pattern’s reduced diurnal range narrows downside risk below 15°C. Key upcoming updates from the Met Office and ECMWF overnight will refine the exact minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 19 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 19 августа?
17°C 57%
16°C 22%
18°C 14%
15°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 авг. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
22%
17°C
57%
18°C
14%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C или выше
<1%
17°C 57%
16°C 22%
18°C 14%
15°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 авг. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
$108 Объем
<1%
12°C
$108 Объем
<1%
13°C
$50 Объем
<1%
14°C
$50 Объем
1%
15°C
$260 Объем
4%
16°C
$1,049 Объем
22%
17°C
$1,964 Объем
57%
18°C
$601 Объем
14%
19°C
$162 Объем
1%
20°C
$151 Объем
<1%
21°C или выше
$146 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather point to above-average nighttime temperatures for London on August 19, driven by a mild southwesterly airflow and increased cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustering around 15–17°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 17°C (56%) and 16°C (25.5%). Recent seasonal outlooks highlighting warmer-than-normal UK conditions this August, combined with limited clear-sky windows in the latest model runs, reinforce trader consensus around these values. Historical August lows average near 13–14°C, but the current pattern’s reduced diurnal range narrows downside risk below 15°C. Key upcoming updates from the Met Office and ECMWF overnight will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$4,649Дата окончания
19 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather point to above-average nighttime temperatures for London on August 19, driven by a mild southwesterly airflow and increased cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustering around 15–17°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 17°C (56%) and 16°C (25.5%). Recent seasonal outlooks highlighting warmer-than-normal UK conditions this August, combined with limited clear-sky windows in the latest model runs, reinforce trader consensus around these values. Historical August lows average near 13–14°C, but the current pattern’s reduced diurnal range narrows downside risk below 15°C. Key upcoming updates from the Met Office and ECMWF overnight will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,649Дата окончания
19 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather point to above-average nighttime temperatures for London on August 19, driven by a mild southwesterly airflow and increased cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustering around 15–17°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 17°C (56%) and 16°C (25.5%). Recent seasonal outlooks highlighting warmer-than-normal UK conditions this August, combined with limited clear-sky windows in the latest model runs, reinforce trader consensus around these values. Historical August lows average near 13–14°C, but the current pattern’s reduced diurnal range narrows downside risk below 15°C. Key upcoming updates from the Met Office and ECMWF overnight will refine the exact minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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