Recent forecasts from multiple agencies point to a daily maximum near 32°C in Shenzhen on August 20, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and widespread cloud cover with thundery showers that limit solar heating. Current observations show highs of 30–31°C on preceding days, consistent with climatological August averages of 32°C and the moderating influence of regional rainfall patterns. Model consensus favors limited intensification due to steering flows and moisture, though minor variations in timing of showers could shift outcomes by 1°C. Trader positioning around 32–33°C reflects these near-term guidance updates ahead of final observational data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 20 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 20 августа?
32°C 40%
33°C 26%
31°C 16%
34°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
16%
32°C
40%
33°C
26%
34°C
12%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 40%
33°C 26%
31°C 16%
34°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$286 Объем
<1%
28°C
$24 Объем
<1%
29°C
$169 Объем
2%
30°C
$16 Объем
7%
31°C
$28 Объем
16%
32°C
$574 Объем
40%
33°C
$75 Объем
26%
34°C
$84 Объем
12%
35°C
$87 Объем
5%
36°C
$30 Объем
2%
37°C or higher
$22 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple agencies point to a daily maximum near 32°C in Shenzhen on August 20, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and widespread cloud cover with thundery showers that limit solar heating. Current observations show highs of 30–31°C on preceding days, consistent with climatological August averages of 32°C and the moderating influence of regional rainfall patterns. Model consensus favors limited intensification due to steering flows and moisture, though minor variations in timing of showers could shift outcomes by 1°C. Trader positioning around 32–33°C reflects these near-term guidance updates ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$1,355Дата окончания
20 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple agencies point to a daily maximum near 32°C in Shenzhen on August 20, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and widespread cloud cover with thundery showers that limit solar heating. Current observations show highs of 30–31°C on preceding days, consistent with climatological August averages of 32°C and the moderating influence of regional rainfall patterns. Model consensus favors limited intensification due to steering flows and moisture, though minor variations in timing of showers could shift outcomes by 1°C. Trader positioning around 32–33°C reflects these near-term guidance updates ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,355Дата окончания
20 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple agencies point to a daily maximum near 32°C in Shenzhen on August 20, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and widespread cloud cover with thundery showers that limit solar heating. Current observations show highs of 30–31°C on preceding days, consistent with climatological August averages of 32°C and the moderating influence of regional rainfall patterns. Model consensus favors limited intensification due to steering flows and moisture, though minor variations in timing of showers could shift outcomes by 1°C. Trader positioning around 32–33°C reflects these near-term guidance updates ahead of final observational data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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