Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan for summer 2026, driven by a strengthened Pacific High after the rainy season, which supports elevated overnight lows in Tokyo. Climatological data place typical August minimums near 24–25°C, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity often preventing deeper cooling. Short-range model guidance for August 20 shows showers possible, which can moderate temperature drops but also limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. These factors align with market-implied probabilities clustering around 24–25°C as the most likely resolution range ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 20 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Токио 20 августа?
25°C 55%
24°C 34%
26°C 14%
23°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
12%
24°C
34%
25°C
44%
26°C
14%
27°C
9%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C или выше
1%
25°C 55%
24°C 34%
26°C 14%
23°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$9 Объем
1%
21°C
$9 Объем
1%
22°C
$4 Объем
6%
23°C
$4 Объем
12%
24°C
$4 Объем
34%
25°C
$17 Объем
44%
26°C
$16 Объем
14%
27°C
$4 Объем
9%
28°C
$4 Объем
4%
29°C
$4 Объем
1%
30°C или выше
$4 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan for summer 2026, driven by a strengthened Pacific High after the rainy season, which supports elevated overnight lows in Tokyo. Climatological data place typical August minimums near 24–25°C, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity often preventing deeper cooling. Short-range model guidance for August 20 shows showers possible, which can moderate temperature drops but also limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. These factors align with market-implied probabilities clustering around 24–25°C as the most likely resolution range ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$76Дата окончания
20 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan for summer 2026, driven by a strengthened Pacific High after the rainy season, which supports elevated overnight lows in Tokyo. Climatological data place typical August minimums near 24–25°C, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity often preventing deeper cooling. Short-range model guidance for August 20 shows showers possible, which can moderate temperature drops but also limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. These factors align with market-implied probabilities clustering around 24–25°C as the most likely resolution range ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$76Дата окончания
20 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan for summer 2026, driven by a strengthened Pacific High after the rainy season, which supports elevated overnight lows in Tokyo. Climatological data place typical August minimums near 24–25°C, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity often preventing deeper cooling. Short-range model guidance for August 20 shows showers possible, which can moderate temperature drops but also limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. These factors align with market-implied probabilities clustering around 24–25°C as the most likely resolution range ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы