Recent August inflation data showing a 6.24% year-over-year rise—exceeding forecasts and reaching a two-year high—has reinforced the case for a restrictive stance at the Banco de la República, where the policy rate stands at 12%. Elevated inflation expectations, persistent core pressures near 6.5%, and external risks including Middle East tensions and potential El Niño effects have supported market-implied odds favoring no change at the October meeting while assigning meaningful probability to further 25–50 basis point hikes. Stronger economic activity and labor market resilience have limited scope for easing, consistent with the board’s prior split votes and cautious communications.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБез изменений 51%
Повышение на 25 б.п. 23%
Снижение на 25 б.п. 8%
Повышение на более чем 50 б.п. 6.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 окт. 2026 г.
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п.
3%
Снижение на 25 б.п.
8%
Без изменений
51%
Повышение на 25 б.п.
23%
Повышение на более чем 50 б.п.
27%
Без изменений 51%
Повышение на 25 б.п. 23%
Снижение на 25 б.п. 8%
Повышение на более чем 50 б.п. 6.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 окт. 2026 г.
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п.
$152 Объем
3%
Снижение на 25 б.п.
$572 Объем
8%
Без изменений
$1,195 Объем
51%
Повышение на 25 б.п.
$200 Объем
23%
Повышение на более чем 50 б.п.
$40 Объем
27%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Recent August inflation data showing a 6.24% year-over-year rise—exceeding forecasts and reaching a two-year high—has reinforced the case for a restrictive stance at the Banco de la República, where the policy rate stands at 12%. Elevated inflation expectations, persistent core pressures near 6.5%, and external risks including Middle East tensions and potential El Niño effects have supported market-implied odds favoring no change at the October meeting while assigning meaningful probability to further 25–50 basis point hikes. Stronger economic activity and labor market resilience have limited scope for easing, consistent with the board’s prior split votes and cautious communications.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 11:32 AM ET
Объем
$2,159Дата окончания
30 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 11:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventosКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Recent August inflation data showing a 6.24% year-over-year rise—exceeding forecasts and reaching a two-year high—has reinforced the case for a restrictive stance at the Banco de la República, where the policy rate stands at 12%. Elevated inflation expectations, persistent core pressures near 6.5%, and external risks including Middle East tensions and potential El Niño effects have supported market-implied odds favoring no change at the October meeting while assigning meaningful probability to further 25–50 basis point hikes. Stronger economic activity and labor market resilience have limited scope for easing, consistent with the board’s prior split votes and cautious communications.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Объем
$2,159Дата окончания
30 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 11:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventosКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent August inflation data showing a 6.24% year-over-year rise—exceeding forecasts and reaching a two-year high—has reinforced the case for a restrictive stance at the Banco de la República, where the policy rate stands at 12%. Elevated inflation expectations, persistent core pressures near 6.5%, and external risks including Middle East tensions and potential El Niño effects have supported market-implied odds favoring no change at the October meeting while assigning meaningful probability to further 25–50 basis point hikes. Stronger economic activity and labor market resilience have limited scope for easing, consistent with the board’s prior split votes and cautious communications.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Оставит ли Центральный банк Колумбии процентную ставку по монетарной политике без изменений на сентябрьском заседании?
69%
Да
Снизит ли Банк Бразилии целевой уровень ставки Selic на 25 б.п. на ноябрьском заседании?
61%
Да
Снизит ли Банк Бразилии целевой уровень ставки Selic на 25 б.п. на сентябрьском заседании?
98%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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