Recent labor market data releases have kept September nonfarm payrolls expectations subdued, with trader consensus pricing the highest implied probabilities around modest gains of 0-100k amid signs of cooling demand. Mixed signals from initial jobless claims, ADP private payroll figures, and revisions to prior months have created a tight distribution across low-positive and near-flat outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over whether the slowdown will persist into the final quarter. Key upcoming catalysts include the September jobs report itself and any interim high-frequency indicators that could shift Fed rate path expectations or Treasury yield benchmarks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСколько рабочих мест добавлено в сентябре?
Сколько рабочих мест добавлено в сентябре?
от 50 тыс. до 100 тыс. 26%
100k до 150k 24%
от 0 до 50 тысяч 22%
от -50 тыс. до 0 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 окт. 2026 г.
<-50 тыс.
9%
от -50 тыс. до 0
12%
от 0 до 50 тысяч
22%
от 50 тыс. до 100 тыс.
26%
100k до 150k
24%
150 тыс. до 200 тыс.
5%
200 тыс.+
8%
от 50 тыс. до 100 тыс. 26%
100k до 150k 24%
от 0 до 50 тысяч 22%
от -50 тыс. до 0 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 окт. 2026 г.
<-50 тыс.
$248 Объем
9%
от -50 тыс. до 0
$337 Объем
12%
от 0 до 50 тысяч
$199 Объем
22%
от 50 тыс. до 100 тыс.
$159 Объем
26%
100k до 150k
$261 Объем
24%
150 тыс. до 200 тыс.
$260 Объем
5%
200 тыс.+
$459 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent labor market data releases have kept September nonfarm payrolls expectations subdued, with trader consensus pricing the highest implied probabilities around modest gains of 0-100k amid signs of cooling demand. Mixed signals from initial jobless claims, ADP private payroll figures, and revisions to prior months have created a tight distribution across low-positive and near-flat outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over whether the slowdown will persist into the final quarter. Key upcoming catalysts include the September jobs report itself and any interim high-frequency indicators that could shift Fed rate path expectations or Treasury yield benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Объем
$1,923Дата окончания
3 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent labor market data releases have kept September nonfarm payrolls expectations subdued, with trader consensus pricing the highest implied probabilities around modest gains of 0-100k amid signs of cooling demand. Mixed signals from initial jobless claims, ADP private payroll figures, and revisions to prior months have created a tight distribution across low-positive and near-flat outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over whether the slowdown will persist into the final quarter. Key upcoming catalysts include the September jobs report itself and any interim high-frequency indicators that could shift Fed rate path expectations or Treasury yield benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Объем
$1,923Дата окончания
3 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent labor market data releases have kept September nonfarm payrolls expectations subdued, with trader consensus pricing the highest implied probabilities around modest gains of 0-100k amid signs of cooling demand. Mixed signals from initial jobless claims, ADP private payroll figures, and revisions to prior months have created a tight distribution across low-positive and near-flat outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over whether the slowdown will persist into the final quarter. Key upcoming catalysts include the September jobs report itself and any interim high-frequency indicators that could shift Fed rate path expectations or Treasury yield benchmarks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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