**Trader consensus reflects ongoing pressure on the Iranian rial from sustained U.S. sanctions, a naval blockade on ports, and severed regional trade links, including with the UAE.** The free-market rate has already reached roughly 2.21 million IRR per USD amid high inflation near 84-88 percent and reduced oil export revenues. With the resolution date only weeks away, probabilities remain dispersed across the 2.2–3.1 million ranges because near-term movements hinge on enforcement intensity, any shifts in oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, and domestic monetary policy responses. Limited diplomatic progress or sudden de-escalation signals could slow depreciation, while tighter financial restrictions or further export disruptions would likely push the rate higher within the window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено2,8–3,1 млн 36%
2,2–2,5 млн 32%
2,5–2,8 млн 29%
<2,2 млн 29%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
<2,2 млн
29%
2,2–2,5 млн
32%
2,5–2,8 млн
29%
2,8–3,1 млн
36%
3,1 млн+
26%
2,8–3,1 млн 36%
2,2–2,5 млн 32%
2,5–2,8 млн 29%
<2,2 млн 29%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
<2,2 млн
$0 Объем
29%
2,2–2,5 млн
$21 Объем
32%
2,5–2,8 млн
$0 Объем
29%
2,8–3,1 млн
$0 Объем
36%
3,1 млн+
$0 Объем
26%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Trader consensus reflects ongoing pressure on the Iranian rial from sustained U.S. sanctions, a naval blockade on ports, and severed regional trade links, including with the UAE.** The free-market rate has already reached roughly 2.21 million IRR per USD amid high inflation near 84-88 percent and reduced oil export revenues. With the resolution date only weeks away, probabilities remain dispersed across the 2.2–3.1 million ranges because near-term movements hinge on enforcement intensity, any shifts in oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, and domestic monetary policy responses. Limited diplomatic progress or sudden de-escalation signals could slow depreciation, while tighter financial restrictions or further export disruptions would likely push the rate higher within the window.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
Объем
$21Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Trader consensus reflects ongoing pressure on the Iranian rial from sustained U.S. sanctions, a naval blockade on ports, and severed regional trade links, including with the UAE.** The free-market rate has already reached roughly 2.21 million IRR per USD amid high inflation near 84-88 percent and reduced oil export revenues. With the resolution date only weeks away, probabilities remain dispersed across the 2.2–3.1 million ranges because near-term movements hinge on enforcement intensity, any shifts in oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, and domestic monetary policy responses. Limited diplomatic progress or sudden de-escalation signals could slow depreciation, while tighter financial restrictions or further export disruptions would likely push the rate higher within the window.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$21Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus reflects ongoing pressure on the Iranian rial from sustained U.S. sanctions, a naval blockade on ports, and severed regional trade links, including with the UAE.** The free-market rate has already reached roughly 2.21 million IRR per USD amid high inflation near 84-88 percent and reduced oil export revenues. With the resolution date only weeks away, probabilities remain dispersed across the 2.2–3.1 million ranges because near-term movements hinge on enforcement intensity, any shifts in oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, and domestic monetary policy responses. Limited diplomatic progress or sudden de-escalation signals could slow depreciation, while tighter financial restrictions or further export disruptions would likely push the rate higher within the window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы