**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his removal from office and multiple criminal convictions tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration.** South Korean courts have imposed a life sentence for insurrection, upheld a seven-year term by the Supreme Court in July 2026 for related offenses including resisting arrest and procedural violations, and handed down additional multi-year sentences in separate cases. Appeals on the most serious charges continue without any grant of bail or release, and no procedural or political developments in recent months have altered his detained status. Trader consensus reflected in the 91.8% probability for “No” aligns with the finality of these upheld convictions and the absence of near-term mechanisms for early release before the 2027 threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
8% szansa
$200,294 Wol.
$200,294 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
8% szansa
$200,294 Wol.
$200,294 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his removal from office and multiple criminal convictions tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration.** South Korean courts have imposed a life sentence for insurrection, upheld a seven-year term by the Supreme Court in July 2026 for related offenses including resisting arrest and procedural violations, and handed down additional multi-year sentences in separate cases. Appeals on the most serious charges continue without any grant of bail or release, and no procedural or political developments in recent months have altered his detained status. Trader consensus reflected in the 91.8% probability for “No” aligns with the finality of these upheld convictions and the absence of near-term mechanisms for early release before the 2027 threshold.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Wolumen
$200,294Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his removal from office and multiple criminal convictions tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration.** South Korean courts have imposed a life sentence for insurrection, upheld a seven-year term by the Supreme Court in July 2026 for related offenses including resisting arrest and procedural violations, and handed down additional multi-year sentences in separate cases. Appeals on the most serious charges continue without any grant of bail or release, and no procedural or political developments in recent months have altered his detained status. Trader consensus reflected in the 91.8% probability for “No” aligns with the finality of these upheld convictions and the absence of near-term mechanisms for early release before the 2027 threshold.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$200,294Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his removal from office and multiple criminal convictions tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration.** South Korean courts have imposed a life sentence for insurrection, upheld a seven-year term by the Supreme Court in July 2026 for related offenses including resisting arrest and procedural violations, and handed down additional multi-year sentences in separate cases. Appeals on the most serious charges continue without any grant of bail or release, and no procedural or political developments in recent months have altered his detained status. Trader consensus reflected in the 91.8% probability for “No” aligns with the finality of these upheld convictions and the absence of near-term mechanisms for early release before the 2027 threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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