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Polityka·Nagrody

Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026

icon for Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026
Polityka·Nagrody

Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026

Julia Nawalna 9%

Wołodymyr Zełenski 5.5%

UNRWA 4.3%

Papież Leon XIV 3.1%

Polymarket

$23,415,666 Wol.

Julia Nawalna 9%

Wołodymyr Zełenski 5.5%

UNRWA 4.3%

Papież Leon XIV 3.1%

Polymarket

$23,415,666 Wol.

icon for Julia Nawalna

Julia Nawalna

$290,626 Wol.

9%

icon for Wołodymyr Zełenski

Wołodymyr Zełenski

$790,622 Wol.

6%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$2,044,394 Wol.

4%

icon for Papież Leon XIV

Papież Leon XIV

$813,659 Wol.

3%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$4,364,134 Wol.

3%

icon for Międzynarodowy Trybunał Sprawiedliwości

Międzynarodowy Trybunał Sprawiedliwości

$905,056 Wol.

3%

icon for Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$785,570 Wol.

2%

icon for Narendra Modi

Narendra Modi

$685,786 Wol.

1%

icon for Julian Assange

Julian Assange

$849,661 Wol.

1%

icon for Greta Thunberg

Greta Thunberg

$1,454,227 Wol.

1%

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$1,261,805 Wol.

1%

icon for António Guterres

António Guterres

$627,544 Wol.

1%

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$1,434,047 Wol.

1%

icon for Khaled Mashal

Khaled Mashal

$866,253 Wol.

1%

icon for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$1,053,798 Wol.

<1%

icon for Charlie Kirk

Charlie Kirk

$1,245,026 Wol.

<1%

icon for Benjamin Netanjahu

Benjamin Netanjahu

$692,544 Wol.

<1%

icon for Mohammed bin Salman

Mohammed bin Salman

$1,173,113 Wol.

<1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$1,173,363 Wol.

<1%

icon for Władimir Putin

Władimir Putin

$904,439 Wol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.The fragmented field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize stems from its secretive nomination process and 287 total candidates, leaving traders with no dominant frontrunner and low implied probabilities across the board. Yulia Navalnaya holds the narrowest lead at 8.5% on her continued advocacy following Alexei Navalny's death, while Volodymyr Zelenskyy sits at 5.5% amid Ukraine's defense against Russian aggression and organizational contenders like UNRWA and the ICJ draw support for humanitarian and diplomatic roles. With nominations closed since January and the October 9 announcement approaching, recent public endorsements and geopolitical developments continue to shape trader consensus without producing clear momentum for any single outcome.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Wolumen
$23,415,666
Data zakończenia
Oct 10, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.The fragmented field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize stems from its secretive nomination process and 287 total candidates, leaving traders with no dominant frontrunner and low implied probabilities across the board. Yulia Navalnaya holds the narrowest lead at 8.5% on her continued advocacy following Alexei Navalny's death, while Volodymyr Zelenskyy sits at 5.5% amid Ukraine's defense against Russian aggression and organizational contenders like UNRWA and the ICJ draw support for humanitarian and diplomatic roles. With nominations closed since January and the October 9 announcement approaching, recent public endorsements and geopolitical developments continue to shape trader consensus without producing clear momentum for any single outcome.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Wolumen
$23,415,666
Data zakończenia
Oct 10, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 20 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Julia Nawalna" z 9%, za nim "Wołodymyr Zełenski" z 6%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 9¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 9% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026" wygenerował $23.4 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Oct 16, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026", przeglądaj 20 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

To szeroko otwarty rynek. Obecnym liderem dla "Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026" jest "Julia Nawalna" z zaledwie 9%, a za nim "Wołodymyr Zełenski" z 6%. Brak wyniku z wyraźną większością — traderzy widzą to jako wysoce niepewne, co może stwarzać unikalne okazje handlowe. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, więc dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby obserwować ewolucję prawdopodobieństw.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.