Harry Kane's market-leading position at 61.4% reflects trader consensus around his record 73-goal 2025-26 campaign for Bayern Munich across all competitions, paired with six World Cup goals for England that elevated club and international impact in the voting window. Lamine Yamal follows at 15.9% on the back of Barcelona's La Liga and Supercopa successes plus Spain's World Cup triumph, where his creative output and consistency as a teenage standout sustained momentum. Rodri and Kylian Mbappé trail at 7.5% and 7.2% respectively amid Manchester City's midfield control and Real Madrid contributions, while lower probabilities for players like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and others capture narrower paths through recent form or team results. Post-tournament recalibrations have reinforced these standings ahead of the October award.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoZwycięzca Ballon d'Or 2026
Zwycięzca Ballon d'Or 2026
Harry Kane 61.3%
Lamine Yamal 15.9%
Rodri 8%
Kylian Mbappé 7.2%
$28,558,084 Wol.
$28,558,084 Wol.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
8%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Chwicza Kwaracchelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 61.3%
Lamine Yamal 15.9%
Rodri 8%
Kylian Mbappé 7.2%
$28,558,084 Wol.
$28,558,084 Wol.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
8%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Chwicza Kwaracchelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane's market-leading position at 61.4% reflects trader consensus around his record 73-goal 2025-26 campaign for Bayern Munich across all competitions, paired with six World Cup goals for England that elevated club and international impact in the voting window. Lamine Yamal follows at 15.9% on the back of Barcelona's La Liga and Supercopa successes plus Spain's World Cup triumph, where his creative output and consistency as a teenage standout sustained momentum. Rodri and Kylian Mbappé trail at 7.5% and 7.2% respectively amid Manchester City's midfield control and Real Madrid contributions, while lower probabilities for players like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and others capture narrower paths through recent form or team results. Post-tournament recalibrations have reinforced these standings ahead of the October award.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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