The stalled Ukraine peace process following the August 2025 Trump-Putin summit in Alaska has sharply reduced prospects for another bilateral meeting this year, with ongoing battlefield escalation and failed follow-up talks leaving US mediation efforts at a standstill. Recent phone contacts, including a July 2026 call agreeing to further discussions, have not produced scheduled in-person engagements or breakthroughs on sanctions relief, territorial issues, or NATO-related terms. Diplomatic focus has shifted toward US-China stabilization and multilateral forums like the G20, elevating China as a plausible neutral venue while making a US-hosted repeat unlikely amid domestic priorities and European calls for greater involvement in any negotiations. This environment underpins the market's emphasis on no meeting by year-end alongside limited alternatives.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 62%
China 34%
United States 2.6%
Gulf country <1%
$496,332 Wol.
$496,332 Wol.

No meeting by December 31
62%

China
34%

United States
3%

Gulf country
1%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

Turkey
1%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 62%
China 34%
United States 2.6%
Gulf country <1%
$496,332 Wol.
$496,332 Wol.

No meeting by December 31
62%

China
34%

United States
3%

Gulf country
1%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

Turkey
1%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The stalled Ukraine peace process following the August 2025 Trump-Putin summit in Alaska has sharply reduced prospects for another bilateral meeting this year, with ongoing battlefield escalation and failed follow-up talks leaving US mediation efforts at a standstill. Recent phone contacts, including a July 2026 call agreeing to further discussions, have not produced scheduled in-person engagements or breakthroughs on sanctions relief, territorial issues, or NATO-related terms. Diplomatic focus has shifted toward US-China stabilization and multilateral forums like the G20, elevating China as a plausible neutral venue while making a US-hosted repeat unlikely amid domestic priorities and European calls for greater involvement in any negotiations. This environment underpins the market's emphasis on no meeting by year-end alongside limited alternatives.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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