US-Iran diplomacy remains centered on indirect technical talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that ended active fighting in the 2026 conflict. As of mid-August, negotiators report deadlock over implementation details, including Strait of Hormuz maritime access, sanctions relief timelines, and nuclear inspection arrangements, with Iran emphasizing separate Oman channels and denying direct high-level engagement. US officials, including President Trump and Vice President Vance, have reaffirmed commitment to continued discussions, while recent tanker incidents and oil price spikes have heightened pressure for de-escalation. No new rounds of face-to-face meetings have been scheduled before year-end, leaving resolution dependent on progress in mediator-led channels and any shifts in bilateral positions on core issues like sanctions and regional proxies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$28,516 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Jared Kushner
70%
Steve Witkoff
73%
Abbas Araghchi
64%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
63%
J.D. Vance
59%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
37%
Nick Stewart
24%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
22%
Kazem Gharibabadi
18%
Rafael Grossi
23%
Marco Rubio
23%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
16%
Ahmad Vahidi
15%
Ishaq Dar
14%
Donald Trump
12%
Mojtaba Khamenei
6%
Pete Hegseth
6%
Esmail Qaani
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
44%
$28,516 Wol.
Jared Kushner
$230 Wol.
70%
Steve Witkoff
$427 Wol.
73%
Abbas Araghchi
$411 Wol.
64%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$80 Wol.
63%
J.D. Vance
$577 Wol.
59%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$20 Wol.
37%
Nick Stewart
$40 Wol.
24%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$998 Wol.
22%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$885 Wol.
18%
Rafael Grossi
$44 Wol.
23%
Marco Rubio
$40 Wol.
23%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$939 Wol.
16%
Ahmad Vahidi
$25 Wol.
15%
Ishaq Dar
$932 Wol.
14%
Donald Trump
$59 Wol.
12%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$19,061 Wol.
6%
Pete Hegseth
$2,478 Wol.
6%
Esmail Qaani
$1,231 Wol.
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$40 Wol.
44%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains centered on indirect technical talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that ended active fighting in the 2026 conflict. As of mid-August, negotiators report deadlock over implementation details, including Strait of Hormuz maritime access, sanctions relief timelines, and nuclear inspection arrangements, with Iran emphasizing separate Oman channels and denying direct high-level engagement. US officials, including President Trump and Vice President Vance, have reaffirmed commitment to continued discussions, while recent tanker incidents and oil price spikes have heightened pressure for de-escalation. No new rounds of face-to-face meetings have been scheduled before year-end, leaving resolution dependent on progress in mediator-led channels and any shifts in bilateral positions on core issues like sanctions and regional proxies.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$28,516Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains centered on indirect technical talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that ended active fighting in the 2026 conflict. As of mid-August, negotiators report deadlock over implementation details, including Strait of Hormuz maritime access, sanctions relief timelines, and nuclear inspection arrangements, with Iran emphasizing separate Oman channels and denying direct high-level engagement. US officials, including President Trump and Vice President Vance, have reaffirmed commitment to continued discussions, while recent tanker incidents and oil price spikes have heightened pressure for de-escalation. No new rounds of face-to-face meetings have been scheduled before year-end, leaving resolution dependent on progress in mediator-led channels and any shifts in bilateral positions on core issues like sanctions and regional proxies.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$28,516Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy remains centered on indirect technical talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that ended active fighting in the 2026 conflict. As of mid-August, negotiators report deadlock over implementation details, including Strait of Hormuz maritime access, sanctions relief timelines, and nuclear inspection arrangements, with Iran emphasizing separate Oman channels and denying direct high-level engagement. US officials, including President Trump and Vice President Vance, have reaffirmed commitment to continued discussions, while recent tanker incidents and oil price spikes have heightened pressure for de-escalation. No new rounds of face-to-face meetings have been scheduled before year-end, leaving resolution dependent on progress in mediator-led channels and any shifts in bilateral positions on core issues like sanctions and regional proxies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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