Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s assassination in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes triggered Iran’s Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba as supreme leader in a unanimous March vote, establishing formal continuity through hardline clerical and IRGC networks. Mojtaba has since overseen military leadership reshuffles that prioritize confrontation with the United States and Israel, including appointments of figures such as Mohsen Rezaie. Persistent questions about Mojtaba’s health and limited public appearances, including his absence from his father’s July funeral, have sustained uncertainty. President Masoud Pezeshkian remains in office amid the ongoing conflict, while low-probability alternatives such as Alireza Arafi or Reza Pahlavi lack institutional momentum ahead of year-end resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$23,646,331 Wol.
Aug 22, 2026
August 22
<1%
August 31
1%
September 30
5%
October 31
8%
November 30
11%
31 grudnia
17%
June 30, 2027
26%
$23,646,331 Wol.
August 22
$61,185 Wol.
<1%
August 31
$1,198,416 Wol.
1%
September 30
$466,229 Wol.
5%
October 31
$19,605 Wol.
8%
November 30
$14,708 Wol.
11%
31 grudnia
$4,034,557 Wol.
17%
June 30, 2027
$243,441 Wol.
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s assassination in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes triggered Iran’s Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba as supreme leader in a unanimous March vote, establishing formal continuity through hardline clerical and IRGC networks. Mojtaba has since overseen military leadership reshuffles that prioritize confrontation with the United States and Israel, including appointments of figures such as Mohsen Rezaie. Persistent questions about Mojtaba’s health and limited public appearances, including his absence from his father’s July funeral, have sustained uncertainty. President Masoud Pezeshkian remains in office amid the ongoing conflict, while low-probability alternatives such as Alireza Arafi or Reza Pahlavi lack institutional momentum ahead of year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$23,646,331Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s assassination in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes triggered Iran’s Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba as supreme leader in a unanimous March vote, establishing formal continuity through hardline clerical and IRGC networks. Mojtaba has since overseen military leadership reshuffles that prioritize confrontation with the United States and Israel, including appointments of figures such as Mohsen Rezaie. Persistent questions about Mojtaba’s health and limited public appearances, including his absence from his father’s July funeral, have sustained uncertainty. President Masoud Pezeshkian remains in office amid the ongoing conflict, while low-probability alternatives such as Alireza Arafi or Reza Pahlavi lack institutional momentum ahead of year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$23,646,331Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s assassination in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes triggered Iran’s Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba as supreme leader in a unanimous March vote, establishing formal continuity through hardline clerical and IRGC networks. Mojtaba has since overseen military leadership reshuffles that prioritize confrontation with the United States and Israel, including appointments of figures such as Mohsen Rezaie. Persistent questions about Mojtaba’s health and limited public appearances, including his absence from his father’s July funeral, have sustained uncertainty. President Masoud Pezeshkian remains in office amid the ongoing conflict, while low-probability alternatives such as Alireza Arafi or Reza Pahlavi lack institutional momentum ahead of year-end resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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