Recent diplomacy between the United States and Iran has centered on indirect channels and third-party mediation rather than direct high-level rounds, following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that set a 60-day window for addressing the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear restraints, sanctions relief, and related issues. As of mid-August, U.S. officials including President Trump and Secretary Rubio have described ongoing messages and Hormuz talks with Oman as advancing, while Iranian sources report no progress on reviving interim commitments and deny formal negotiations. Mediators such as Qatar and Pakistan continue facilitation efforts, with drafts reportedly circulating but no confirmed direct bilateral session scheduled before the August 31 deadline. This environment of mixed signals and stalled implementation keeps trader focus on whether any verifiable round materializes amid persistent disputes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$93,917 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
10%
Nick Stewart
16%
Kazem Gharibabadi
8%
Jared Kushner
5%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
5%
Steve Witkoff
4%
Ishaq Dar
3%
Pete Hegseth
3%
Abbas Araghchi
3%
Marco Rubio
3%
Rafael Grossi
3%
J.D. Vance
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
<1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
47%
$93,917 Wol.
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,730 Wol.
10%
Nick Stewart
$36 Wol.
16%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,690 Wol.
8%
Jared Kushner
$13,481 Wol.
5%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$12,051 Wol.
5%
Steve Witkoff
$13,535 Wol.
4%
Ishaq Dar
$2,920 Wol.
3%
Pete Hegseth
$2,630 Wol.
3%
Abbas Araghchi
$9,040 Wol.
3%
Marco Rubio
$7,606 Wol.
3%
Rafael Grossi
$886 Wol.
3%
J.D. Vance
$11,213 Wol.
2%
Donald Trump
$6,525 Wol.
2%
Esmail Qaani
$476 Wol.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,567 Wol.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$317 Wol.
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 Wol.
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,234 Wol.
<1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$259 Wol.
47%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomacy between the United States and Iran has centered on indirect channels and third-party mediation rather than direct high-level rounds, following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that set a 60-day window for addressing the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear restraints, sanctions relief, and related issues. As of mid-August, U.S. officials including President Trump and Secretary Rubio have described ongoing messages and Hormuz talks with Oman as advancing, while Iranian sources report no progress on reviving interim commitments and deny formal negotiations. Mediators such as Qatar and Pakistan continue facilitation efforts, with drafts reportedly circulating but no confirmed direct bilateral session scheduled before the August 31 deadline. This environment of mixed signals and stalled implementation keeps trader focus on whether any verifiable round materializes amid persistent disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$93,917Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomacy between the United States and Iran has centered on indirect channels and third-party mediation rather than direct high-level rounds, following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that set a 60-day window for addressing the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear restraints, sanctions relief, and related issues. As of mid-August, U.S. officials including President Trump and Secretary Rubio have described ongoing messages and Hormuz talks with Oman as advancing, while Iranian sources report no progress on reviving interim commitments and deny formal negotiations. Mediators such as Qatar and Pakistan continue facilitation efforts, with drafts reportedly circulating but no confirmed direct bilateral session scheduled before the August 31 deadline. This environment of mixed signals and stalled implementation keeps trader focus on whether any verifiable round materializes amid persistent disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$93,917Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomacy between the United States and Iran has centered on indirect channels and third-party mediation rather than direct high-level rounds, following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that set a 60-day window for addressing the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear restraints, sanctions relief, and related issues. As of mid-August, U.S. officials including President Trump and Secretary Rubio have described ongoing messages and Hormuz talks with Oman as advancing, while Iranian sources report no progress on reviving interim commitments and deny formal negotiations. Mediators such as Qatar and Pakistan continue facilitation efforts, with drafts reportedly circulating but no confirmed direct bilateral session scheduled before the August 31 deadline. This environment of mixed signals and stalled implementation keeps trader focus on whether any verifiable round materializes amid persistent disputes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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