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icon for Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
Wybory·Brazylia

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

icon for Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
Wybory·Brazylia

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Eduardo Paes 92.0%

Douglas Ruas 7.6%

Rafa Luz <1%

Colonel Busnello <1%

Polymarket

$454,645 Wol.

Eduardo Paes 92.0%

Douglas Ruas 7.6%

Rafa Luz <1%

Colonel Busnello <1%

Polymarket

$454,645 Wol.

icon for Eduardo Paes

Eduardo Paes

$71,487 Wol.

92%

icon for Douglas Ruas

Douglas Ruas

$28,454 Wol.

8%

icon for Rafa Luz

Rafa Luz

$17,280 Wol.

<1%

icon for Colonel Busnello

Colonel Busnello

$18,770 Wol.

<1%

icon for Felipe Curi

Felipe Curi

$27,020 Wol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Pazuello

Eduardo Pazuello

$3,826 Wol.

<1%

icon for Tarcísio Motta

Tarcísio Motta

$17,339 Wol.

<1%

icon for Anthony Garotinho

Anthony Garotinho

$29,367 Wol.

<1%

icon for Nicola Miccione

Nicola Miccione

$5,387 Wol.

<1%

icon for Wilson Witzel

Wilson Witzel

$19,853 Wol.

<1%

icon for André Português

André Português

$3,688 Wol.

<1%

icon for Lindbergh Farias

Lindbergh Farias

$15,600 Wol.

<1%

icon for Fred Pacheco

Fred Pacheco

$142,002 Wol.

<1%

icon for André Ceciliano

André Ceciliano

$19,911 Wol.

<1%

icon for Dr. Luizinho

Dr. Luizinho

$18,566 Wol.

<1%

icon for Chico Machado

Chico Machado

$16,095 Wol.

<1%

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes (PSD) holds a dominant position in the Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in recent polling, including AtlasIntel and Datafolha surveys from late August and early September showing him at 35-44% in first-round scenarios against Douglas Ruas (PL) at 19-28% and Anthony Garotinho (Republicanos) trailing further behind. His advantages stem from high name recognition as former mayor, a wide coalition spanning multiple parties, and stronger voter ratings on issues such as tourism, security, and public management compared to rivals. With the October 4 election approaching, the fragmented opposition and Paes's margin in runoff simulations limit realistic paths for challengers unless major shifts occur in turnout or last-minute alliances.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$454,645
Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes (PSD) holds a dominant position in the Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in recent polling, including AtlasIntel and Datafolha surveys from late August and early September showing him at 35-44% in first-round scenarios against Douglas Ruas (PL) at 19-28% and Anthony Garotinho (Republicanos) trailing further behind. His advantages stem from high name recognition as former mayor, a wide coalition spanning multiple parties, and stronger voter ratings on issues such as tourism, security, and public management compared to rivals. With the October 4 election approaching, the fragmented opposition and Paes's margin in runoff simulations limit realistic paths for challengers unless major shifts occur in turnout or last-minute alliances.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$454,645
Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 16 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Eduardo Paes" z 92%, za nim "Douglas Ruas" z 8%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 92¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 92% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner" wygenerował $454.6K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jun 9, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner", przeglądaj 16 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner" jest "Eduardo Paes" z 92%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 92% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Douglas Ruas" z 8%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.