Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Santa Catarina trader sentiment for first place in the October 2026 presidential first round, driven by the state's conservative voter base and historical alignment with the Liberal Party (PL) and Jair Bolsonaro's movement. The southern region delivered strong support for right-wing candidates in 2022, reinforced by incumbent PL Governor Jorginho Mello's reelection bid and party conventions that unified local tickets. National polls show Lula ahead overall, yet Santa Catarina's demographics and recent PL conventions underscore limited traction for center-left or other opposition figures. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign shifts in turnout or unexpected national events altering regional preferences before October 4.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Santa Catarina
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Santa Catarina
Flavio Bolsonaro 96%
Lula 2.5%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Zema <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
96%
Lula
3%
Edmilson Costa
1%
Zema
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
1%
Hertz Dias
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Renan Santos
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 96%
Lula 2.5%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Zema <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$1,408 Wol.
96%
Lula
$270 Wol.
3%
Edmilson Costa
$270 Wol.
1%
Zema
$260 Wol.
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$270 Wol.
1%
Hertz Dias
$270 Wol.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$270 Wol.
1%
Renan Santos
$270 Wol.
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$270 Wol.
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$270 Wol.
1%
Clariana Barao
$270 Wol.
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$275 Wol.
<1%
Samara
$275 Wol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Santa Catarina trader sentiment for first place in the October 2026 presidential first round, driven by the state's conservative voter base and historical alignment with the Liberal Party (PL) and Jair Bolsonaro's movement. The southern region delivered strong support for right-wing candidates in 2022, reinforced by incumbent PL Governor Jorginho Mello's reelection bid and party conventions that unified local tickets. National polls show Lula ahead overall, yet Santa Catarina's demographics and recent PL conventions underscore limited traction for center-left or other opposition figures. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign shifts in turnout or unexpected national events altering regional preferences before October 4.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,651Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Santa Catarina trader sentiment for first place in the October 2026 presidential first round, driven by the state's conservative voter base and historical alignment with the Liberal Party (PL) and Jair Bolsonaro's movement. The southern region delivered strong support for right-wing candidates in 2022, reinforced by incumbent PL Governor Jorginho Mello's reelection bid and party conventions that unified local tickets. National polls show Lula ahead overall, yet Santa Catarina's demographics and recent PL conventions underscore limited traction for center-left or other opposition figures. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign shifts in turnout or unexpected national events altering regional preferences before October 4.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$4,651Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Santa Catarina trader sentiment for first place in the October 2026 presidential first round, driven by the state's conservative voter base and historical alignment with the Liberal Party (PL) and Jair Bolsonaro's movement. The southern region delivered strong support for right-wing candidates in 2022, reinforced by incumbent PL Governor Jorginho Mello's reelection bid and party conventions that unified local tickets. National polls show Lula ahead overall, yet Santa Catarina's demographics and recent PL conventions underscore limited traction for center-left or other opposition figures. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign shifts in turnout or unexpected national events altering regional preferences before October 4.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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