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Wybory·Main Election

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul
Wybory·Main Election

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul

Flavio Bolsonaro 56%

Lula 33%

Rui Costa Pimenta 5.0%

Escritor Augusto Cury 4.7%

Polymarket
NOWE

Flavio Bolsonaro 56%

Lula 33%

Rui Costa Pimenta 5.0%

Escritor Augusto Cury 4.7%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$375 Wol.

56%

icon for Lula

Lula

$158 Wol.

33%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$85 Wol.

5%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$85 Wol.

5%

icon for Samara

Samara

$85 Wol.

5%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$82 Wol.

4%

icon for Zema

Zema

$81 Wol.

4%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$83 Wol.

4%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$84 Wol.

4%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$80 Wol.

4%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$161 Wol.

3%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$173 Wol.

3%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$165 Wol.

2%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a narrow edge in Rio Grande do Sul first-round positioning due to sustained regional strength for the Liberal Party and the Bolsonaro political brand in southern states, where voters prioritize public security and conservative policies. Recent national polls, including Quaest surveys, show him competitive with Lula overall while outperforming in the South; a May Genial/Quaest state-level reading gave him a clear lead there in head-to-head testing. Lula’s incumbency and PT base provide counterbalance, but the fragmented field of center-right and smaller candidates—including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos—has not yet consolidated enough support to challenge the frontrunner locally. Trader consensus reflects these regional voting patterns and limited recent shifts from candidate controversies or alliances ahead of the October 4 vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$1,659
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a narrow edge in Rio Grande do Sul first-round positioning due to sustained regional strength for the Liberal Party and the Bolsonaro political brand in southern states, where voters prioritize public security and conservative policies. Recent national polls, including Quaest surveys, show him competitive with Lula overall while outperforming in the South; a May Genial/Quaest state-level reading gave him a clear lead there in head-to-head testing. Lula’s incumbency and PT base provide counterbalance, but the fragmented field of center-right and smaller candidates—including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos—has not yet consolidated enough support to challenge the frontrunner locally. Trader consensus reflects these regional voting patterns and limited recent shifts from candidate controversies or alliances ahead of the October 4 vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$1,659
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 13 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Flavio Bolsonaro" z 56%, za nim "Lula" z 33%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 56¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 56% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 17, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul", przeglądaj 13 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul" jest "Flavio Bolsonaro" z 56%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 56% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Lula" z 33%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.