Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor of Pernambuco, holds the strongest position in the 2026 race according to recent polling trends, with approval ratings for her administration near 60-68% across multiple surveys. João Campos of the PSB, the former Recife mayor, remains the main challenger and has narrowed gaps in some late-August and early-September measurements, producing numerical ties around 43% each in first-round scenarios and 44% in runoff simulations from Real Time Big Data. Lyra has maintained leads or advantages within margins of error in Datafolha and Quaest releases through August, supported by stronger performance among interior voters and higher-income groups. Minor candidates, including Ivan Moraes of PSOL, register in the low single digits and show limited prospects. The October 4 first-round vote and any subsequent runoff remain sensitive to final campaign dynamics and turnout patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoRaquel Lyra 66%
João Campos 35%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$41,487 Wol.
$41,487 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Raquel Lyra
66%
João Campos
35%
Ivan Moraes
<1%
Raquel Lyra 66%
João Campos 35%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$41,487 Wol.
$41,487 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Raquel Lyra
$19,419 Wol.
66%
João Campos
$17,046 Wol.
35%
Ivan Moraes
$5,023 Wol.
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor of Pernambuco, holds the strongest position in the 2026 race according to recent polling trends, with approval ratings for her administration near 60-68% across multiple surveys. João Campos of the PSB, the former Recife mayor, remains the main challenger and has narrowed gaps in some late-August and early-September measurements, producing numerical ties around 43% each in first-round scenarios and 44% in runoff simulations from Real Time Big Data. Lyra has maintained leads or advantages within margins of error in Datafolha and Quaest releases through August, supported by stronger performance among interior voters and higher-income groups. Minor candidates, including Ivan Moraes of PSOL, register in the low single digits and show limited prospects. The October 4 first-round vote and any subsequent runoff remain sensitive to final campaign dynamics and turnout patterns.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$41,487Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor of Pernambuco, holds the strongest position in the 2026 race according to recent polling trends, with approval ratings for her administration near 60-68% across multiple surveys. João Campos of the PSB, the former Recife mayor, remains the main challenger and has narrowed gaps in some late-August and early-September measurements, producing numerical ties around 43% each in first-round scenarios and 44% in runoff simulations from Real Time Big Data. Lyra has maintained leads or advantages within margins of error in Datafolha and Quaest releases through August, supported by stronger performance among interior voters and higher-income groups. Minor candidates, including Ivan Moraes of PSOL, register in the low single digits and show limited prospects. The October 4 first-round vote and any subsequent runoff remain sensitive to final campaign dynamics and turnout patterns.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$41,487Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor of Pernambuco, holds the strongest position in the 2026 race according to recent polling trends, with approval ratings for her administration near 60-68% across multiple surveys. João Campos of the PSB, the former Recife mayor, remains the main challenger and has narrowed gaps in some late-August and early-September measurements, producing numerical ties around 43% each in first-round scenarios and 44% in runoff simulations from Real Time Big Data. Lyra has maintained leads or advantages within margins of error in Datafolha and Quaest releases through August, supported by stronger performance among interior voters and higher-income groups. Minor candidates, including Ivan Moraes of PSOL, register in the low single digits and show limited prospects. The October 4 first-round vote and any subsequent runoff remain sensitive to final campaign dynamics and turnout patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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