Eduardo Braide (PSD) leads trader pricing in the Maranhão gubernatorial race at 60.5% implied probability, driven by his established name recognition from two terms as São Luís mayor, PSD party infrastructure, and leads in most recent polls ahead of the October 4 first round. Orleans Brandão (MDB) trails at 38%, drawing support from state government networks tied to his uncle, the incumbent governor, yet faces a competitive but fragmented field including lower-polling contenders such as Felipe Camarão (PT). Divergent polling results across institutes highlight ongoing uncertainty about voter preferences in a potential runoff scenario, with Braide's structural advantages in the capital region shaping current market consensus on first-round positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEduardo Braide 61%
Orleans Brandão 38%
Felipe Camarão <1%
André Luís <1%
$59,099 Wol.
$59,099 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Braide
61%
Orleans Brandão
38%
Felipe Camarão
<1%
André Luís
<1%
Lahesio Bonfim
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Eduardo Braide 61%
Orleans Brandão 38%
Felipe Camarão <1%
André Luís <1%
$59,099 Wol.
$59,099 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Braide
$27,877 Wol.
61%
Orleans Brandão
$12,822 Wol.
38%
Felipe Camarão
$4,642 Wol.
<1%
André Luís
$5,426 Wol.
<1%
Lahesio Bonfim
$4,092 Wol.
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$4,240 Wol.
<1%
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide (PSD) leads trader pricing in the Maranhão gubernatorial race at 60.5% implied probability, driven by his established name recognition from two terms as São Luís mayor, PSD party infrastructure, and leads in most recent polls ahead of the October 4 first round. Orleans Brandão (MDB) trails at 38%, drawing support from state government networks tied to his uncle, the incumbent governor, yet faces a competitive but fragmented field including lower-polling contenders such as Felipe Camarão (PT). Divergent polling results across institutes highlight ongoing uncertainty about voter preferences in a potential runoff scenario, with Braide's structural advantages in the capital region shaping current market consensus on first-round positioning.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Wolumen
$59,099Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide (PSD) leads trader pricing in the Maranhão gubernatorial race at 60.5% implied probability, driven by his established name recognition from two terms as São Luís mayor, PSD party infrastructure, and leads in most recent polls ahead of the October 4 first round. Orleans Brandão (MDB) trails at 38%, drawing support from state government networks tied to his uncle, the incumbent governor, yet faces a competitive but fragmented field including lower-polling contenders such as Felipe Camarão (PT). Divergent polling results across institutes highlight ongoing uncertainty about voter preferences in a potential runoff scenario, with Braide's structural advantages in the capital region shaping current market consensus on first-round positioning.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$59,099Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braide (PSD) leads trader pricing in the Maranhão gubernatorial race at 60.5% implied probability, driven by his established name recognition from two terms as São Luís mayor, PSD party infrastructure, and leads in most recent polls ahead of the October 4 first round. Orleans Brandão (MDB) trails at 38%, drawing support from state government networks tied to his uncle, the incumbent governor, yet faces a competitive but fragmented field including lower-polling contenders such as Felipe Camarão (PT). Divergent polling results across institutes highlight ongoing uncertainty about voter preferences in a potential runoff scenario, with Braide's structural advantages in the capital region shaping current market consensus on first-round positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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