Recent polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data and PR Pesquisas shows a tight multi-candidate contest for the two Paraná Senate seats, with Deltan Dallagnol (Novo) holding a narrow lead at 19-34% in stimulated scenarios while Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) remain within the margin of error at 15-29%. Party conventions have confirmed nine candidacies, fragmenting the vote among right-leaning and center-right names aligned with former President Bolsonaro alongside left-leaning challengers. Voter intention remains fluid ahead of the October 2026 election, as no candidate has consolidated a clear path to first place through endorsements or regional strongholds. Upcoming surveys and campaign events could widen gaps if one contender gains momentum on anti-corruption messaging or party machinery.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDeltan Dallagnol 39%
Alexandre Curi 24%
Filipe Barros 21%
Cristina Reis Graeml 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Deltan Dallagnol
39%
Alexandre Curi
24%
Filipe Barros
21%
Cristina Reis Graeml
5%
Marcelo Marcelino
4%
Joaquim do MLB
4%
Karen Guerreiro
4%
Gleisi
3%
Dr. Rosinha
2%
Deltan Dallagnol 39%
Alexandre Curi 24%
Filipe Barros 21%
Cristina Reis Graeml 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Deltan Dallagnol
$353 Wol.
39%
Alexandre Curi
$177 Wol.
24%
Filipe Barros
$156 Wol.
21%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$64 Wol.
5%
Marcelo Marcelino
$128 Wol.
4%
Joaquim do MLB
$129 Wol.
4%
Karen Guerreiro
$259 Wol.
4%
Gleisi
$133 Wol.
3%
Dr. Rosinha
$118 Wol.
2%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data and PR Pesquisas shows a tight multi-candidate contest for the two Paraná Senate seats, with Deltan Dallagnol (Novo) holding a narrow lead at 19-34% in stimulated scenarios while Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) remain within the margin of error at 15-29%. Party conventions have confirmed nine candidacies, fragmenting the vote among right-leaning and center-right names aligned with former President Bolsonaro alongside left-leaning challengers. Voter intention remains fluid ahead of the October 2026 election, as no candidate has consolidated a clear path to first place through endorsements or regional strongholds. Upcoming surveys and campaign events could widen gaps if one contender gains momentum on anti-corruption messaging or party machinery.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,516Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data and PR Pesquisas shows a tight multi-candidate contest for the two Paraná Senate seats, with Deltan Dallagnol (Novo) holding a narrow lead at 19-34% in stimulated scenarios while Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) remain within the margin of error at 15-29%. Party conventions have confirmed nine candidacies, fragmenting the vote among right-leaning and center-right names aligned with former President Bolsonaro alongside left-leaning challengers. Voter intention remains fluid ahead of the October 2026 election, as no candidate has consolidated a clear path to first place through endorsements or regional strongholds. Upcoming surveys and campaign events could widen gaps if one contender gains momentum on anti-corruption messaging or party machinery.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$1,516Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data and PR Pesquisas shows a tight multi-candidate contest for the two Paraná Senate seats, with Deltan Dallagnol (Novo) holding a narrow lead at 19-34% in stimulated scenarios while Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) remain within the margin of error at 15-29%. Party conventions have confirmed nine candidacies, fragmenting the vote among right-leaning and center-right names aligned with former President Bolsonaro alongside left-leaning challengers. Voter intention remains fluid ahead of the October 2026 election, as no candidate has consolidated a clear path to first place through endorsements or regional strongholds. Upcoming surveys and campaign events could widen gaps if one contender gains momentum on anti-corruption messaging or party machinery.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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