Skip to main content
icon for Mato Grosso do Sul Senate Election: 1st Place
Polityka·Brazylia

Mato Grosso do Sul Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Mato Grosso do Sul Senate Election: 1st Place
Polityka·Brazylia

Mato Grosso do Sul Senate Election: 1st Place

Reinaldo Azambuja 81%

Valderi Garcia 41.2%

Capitão Contar 6%

Vander Loubet 6%

Polymarket
NOWE

Reinaldo Azambuja 81%

Valderi Garcia 41.2%

Capitão Contar 6%

Vander Loubet 6%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Reinaldo Azambuja

Reinaldo Azambuja

$540 Wol.

81%

icon for Valderi Garcia

Valderi Garcia

$43 Wol.

41%

icon for Capitão Contar

Capitão Contar

$55 Wol.

6%

icon for Vander Loubet

Vander Loubet

$43 Wol.

6%

icon for Daniel Junior

Daniel Junior

$43 Wol.

5%

icon for Roberto Oshiro

Roberto Oshiro

$114 Wol.

5%

icon for Soraya

Soraya

$43 Wol.

3%

icon for Valter da Comagran

Valter da Comagran

$112 Wol.

3%

icon for Beto do Movimento

Beto do Movimento

$43 Wol.

3%

icon for Luiz Lemes

Luiz Lemes

$64 Wol.

3%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), the former Mato Grosso do Sul governor, holds the strongest position for first place in the October 2026 Senate election due to consistent leads in August 2026 polls, often reaching 30-38% consolidated voting intentions. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data and Ranking Brasil Inteligência confirm his advantage over rivals including Capitão Contar (PL), Vander Loubet (PT), and Soraya Thronicke (PSB). Azambuja's switch to PL, formal campaign launch, and alignment with Governor Eduardo Riedel's reelection coalition have consolidated right-leaning support and boosted visibility. Market pricing reflects this frontrunner status while assigning lower probabilities to challengers amid the state's two-seat contest and fragmented opposition field.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$1,100
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), the former Mato Grosso do Sul governor, holds the strongest position for first place in the October 2026 Senate election due to consistent leads in August 2026 polls, often reaching 30-38% consolidated voting intentions. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data and Ranking Brasil Inteligência confirm his advantage over rivals including Capitão Contar (PL), Vander Loubet (PT), and Soraya Thronicke (PSB). Azambuja's switch to PL, formal campaign launch, and alignment with Governor Eduardo Riedel's reelection coalition have consolidated right-leaning support and boosted visibility. Market pricing reflects this frontrunner status while assigning lower probabilities to challengers amid the state's two-seat contest and fragmented opposition field.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$1,100
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Powiązane

icon for Will Capitão Contar win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?

Will Capitão Contar win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?

53%
icon for Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?

Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?

62%
icon for Will Mauro Mendes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?

Will Mauro Mendes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?

30%

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Mato Grosso do Sul Senate Election: 1st Place" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 10 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Reinaldo Azambuja" z 81%, za nim "Valderi Garcia" z 41%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 81¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 81% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Mato Grosso do Sul Senate Election: 1st Place" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 17, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Mato Grosso do Sul Senate Election: 1st Place", przeglądaj 10 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Mato Grosso do Sul Senate Election: 1st Place" jest "Reinaldo Azambuja" z 81%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 81% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Valderi Garcia" z 41%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Mato Grosso do Sul Senate Election: 1st Place" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.