**Mato Grosso’s two Senate seats draw a fragmented field of ten registered candidates after mid-August party conventions, with voters selecting two names on the October 4 ballot.** Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows former governor Mauro Mendes (União Brasil) and state deputy Janaína Riva (MDB) locked in a technical tie near 25-27 percent, while José Medeiros (PL), Carlos Fávaro (PSD), and Pedro Taques trail in the low-to-mid teens. This dispersion keeps second-place probabilities tightly bunched, as modest shifts in any major bloc or late alliances can reorder the ranking behind the likely leader. Traders price the contest as highly uncertain because no single challenger has consolidated the remaining vote, and historical patterns in multi-seat races show frequent late swings from turnout differences or campaign momentum. Fresh polling, cross-party endorsements, or issue-focused debates on agribusiness and mining could widen gaps before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJanaina Riva 41%
Mauro Mendes 30%
Coronel Darwin 23%
Fávaro 21%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Janaina Riva
25%
Mauro Mendes
30%
Coronel Darwin
23%
Fávaro
21%
Pedro Taques
19%
Jose Medeiros
13%
Beny Godoy
7%
Galvan
6%
Professor Nelson Ferreira
6%
Margareth Buzetti
5%
Janaina Riva 41%
Mauro Mendes 30%
Coronel Darwin 23%
Fávaro 21%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Janaina Riva
$143 Wol.
25%
Mauro Mendes
$43 Wol.
30%
Coronel Darwin
$43 Wol.
23%
Fávaro
$43 Wol.
21%
Pedro Taques
$43 Wol.
19%
Jose Medeiros
$43 Wol.
13%
Beny Godoy
$43 Wol.
7%
Galvan
$43 Wol.
6%
Professor Nelson Ferreira
$43 Wol.
6%
Margareth Buzetti
$43 Wol.
5%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Mato Grosso’s two Senate seats draw a fragmented field of ten registered candidates after mid-August party conventions, with voters selecting two names on the October 4 ballot.** Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows former governor Mauro Mendes (União Brasil) and state deputy Janaína Riva (MDB) locked in a technical tie near 25-27 percent, while José Medeiros (PL), Carlos Fávaro (PSD), and Pedro Taques trail in the low-to-mid teens. This dispersion keeps second-place probabilities tightly bunched, as modest shifts in any major bloc or late alliances can reorder the ranking behind the likely leader. Traders price the contest as highly uncertain because no single challenger has consolidated the remaining vote, and historical patterns in multi-seat races show frequent late swings from turnout differences or campaign momentum. Fresh polling, cross-party endorsements, or issue-focused debates on agribusiness and mining could widen gaps before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$532Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Mato Grosso’s two Senate seats draw a fragmented field of ten registered candidates after mid-August party conventions, with voters selecting two names on the October 4 ballot.** Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows former governor Mauro Mendes (União Brasil) and state deputy Janaína Riva (MDB) locked in a technical tie near 25-27 percent, while José Medeiros (PL), Carlos Fávaro (PSD), and Pedro Taques trail in the low-to-mid teens. This dispersion keeps second-place probabilities tightly bunched, as modest shifts in any major bloc or late alliances can reorder the ranking behind the likely leader. Traders price the contest as highly uncertain because no single challenger has consolidated the remaining vote, and historical patterns in multi-seat races show frequent late swings from turnout differences or campaign momentum. Fresh polling, cross-party endorsements, or issue-focused debates on agribusiness and mining could widen gaps before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$532Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Mato Grosso’s two Senate seats draw a fragmented field of ten registered candidates after mid-August party conventions, with voters selecting two names on the October 4 ballot.** Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows former governor Mauro Mendes (União Brasil) and state deputy Janaína Riva (MDB) locked in a technical tie near 25-27 percent, while José Medeiros (PL), Carlos Fávaro (PSD), and Pedro Taques trail in the low-to-mid teens. This dispersion keeps second-place probabilities tightly bunched, as modest shifts in any major bloc or late alliances can reorder the ranking behind the likely leader. Traders price the contest as highly uncertain because no single challenger has consolidated the remaining vote, and historical patterns in multi-seat races show frequent late swings from turnout differences or campaign momentum. Fresh polling, cross-party endorsements, or issue-focused debates on agribusiness and mining could widen gaps before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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