Renato Casagrande leads the Espírito Santo Senate race for first place in trader consensus due to consistent polling advantages and his established profile as the state's former governor. He resigned the governorship in April 2026 to pursue the Senate seat under the PSB, entering the contest for one of two open positions with strong name recognition and broad coalition support. Multiple July and August 2026 surveys placed him well ahead of competitors such as Rose de Freitas, Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, and Evair de Melo, often in the 24-39% range while rivals trailed significantly. Incumbent senators seeking re-election and other declared candidates face structural challenges in building comparable visibility before October voting, sustaining the wide gap reflected in current market pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoRenato Casagrande 87%
Evair de Melo 5.2%
Fabiano Contarato 4.7%
Rose de Freitas 4.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Renato Casagrande
87%
Evair de Melo
5%
Fabiano Contarato
5%
Rose de Freitas
4%
Maguinha Malta
4%
Callegari
4%
Leonardo Monjardim
4%
Sergio Meneguelli
4%
Rodney Miranda
3%
Marcos do Val
2%
Professor Fabian
2%
Renato Casagrande 87%
Evair de Melo 5.2%
Fabiano Contarato 4.7%
Rose de Freitas 4.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Renato Casagrande
$3,565 Wol.
87%
Evair de Melo
$56 Wol.
5%
Fabiano Contarato
$72 Wol.
5%
Rose de Freitas
$56 Wol.
4%
Maguinha Malta
$75 Wol.
4%
Callegari
$63 Wol.
4%
Leonardo Monjardim
$56 Wol.
4%
Sergio Meneguelli
$76 Wol.
4%
Rodney Miranda
$74 Wol.
3%
Marcos do Val
$75 Wol.
2%
Professor Fabian
$72 Wol.
2%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande leads the Espírito Santo Senate race for first place in trader consensus due to consistent polling advantages and his established profile as the state's former governor. He resigned the governorship in April 2026 to pursue the Senate seat under the PSB, entering the contest for one of two open positions with strong name recognition and broad coalition support. Multiple July and August 2026 surveys placed him well ahead of competitors such as Rose de Freitas, Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, and Evair de Melo, often in the 24-39% range while rivals trailed significantly. Incumbent senators seeking re-election and other declared candidates face structural challenges in building comparable visibility before October voting, sustaining the wide gap reflected in current market pricing.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,241Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande leads the Espírito Santo Senate race for first place in trader consensus due to consistent polling advantages and his established profile as the state's former governor. He resigned the governorship in April 2026 to pursue the Senate seat under the PSB, entering the contest for one of two open positions with strong name recognition and broad coalition support. Multiple July and August 2026 surveys placed him well ahead of competitors such as Rose de Freitas, Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, and Evair de Melo, often in the 24-39% range while rivals trailed significantly. Incumbent senators seeking re-election and other declared candidates face structural challenges in building comparable visibility before October voting, sustaining the wide gap reflected in current market pricing.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$4,241Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Renato Casagrande leads the Espírito Santo Senate race for first place in trader consensus due to consistent polling advantages and his established profile as the state's former governor. He resigned the governorship in April 2026 to pursue the Senate seat under the PSB, entering the contest for one of two open positions with strong name recognition and broad coalition support. Multiple July and August 2026 surveys placed him well ahead of competitors such as Rose de Freitas, Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, and Evair de Melo, often in the 24-39% range while rivals trailed significantly. Incumbent senators seeking re-election and other declared candidates face structural challenges in building comparable visibility before October voting, sustaining the wide gap reflected in current market pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania