Traders assign nearly identical 25% probabilities to maximum temperatures of 28–32°C in Panama City on August 26 because short-range forecast models show high uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and convective activity. Panama’s wet-season climate features frequent ITCZ-driven thunderstorms that can cap highs through evaporative cooling and reduced solar radiation, while breaks in cloudiness allow temperatures to climb closer to the 31–32°C end of the range. Local sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C set a stable baseline, with minor differences in boundary-layer humidity and steering winds determining whether peaks stay at 28–29°C or reach 30–32°C. New model consensus updates will clarify these thresholds before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Panama City on August 26?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 26?
32°C 22%
31°C 21%
30°C 19%
29°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
10%
30°C
19%
31°C
21%
32°C
22%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 22%
31°C 21%
30°C 19%
29°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
27°C
$10 Wol.
3%
28°C
$5 Wol.
8%
29°C
$0 Wol.
10%
30°C
$0 Wol.
19%
31°C
$0 Wol.
21%
32°C
$0 Wol.
22%
33°C
$0 Wol.
4%
34°C
$5 Wol.
4%
35°C
$5 Wol.
2%
36°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign nearly identical 25% probabilities to maximum temperatures of 28–32°C in Panama City on August 26 because short-range forecast models show high uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and convective activity. Panama’s wet-season climate features frequent ITCZ-driven thunderstorms that can cap highs through evaporative cooling and reduced solar radiation, while breaks in cloudiness allow temperatures to climb closer to the 31–32°C end of the range. Local sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C set a stable baseline, with minor differences in boundary-layer humidity and steering winds determining whether peaks stay at 28–29°C or reach 30–32°C. New model consensus updates will clarify these thresholds before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$25Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign nearly identical 25% probabilities to maximum temperatures of 28–32°C in Panama City on August 26 because short-range forecast models show high uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and convective activity. Panama’s wet-season climate features frequent ITCZ-driven thunderstorms that can cap highs through evaporative cooling and reduced solar radiation, while breaks in cloudiness allow temperatures to climb closer to the 31–32°C end of the range. Local sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C set a stable baseline, with minor differences in boundary-layer humidity and steering winds determining whether peaks stay at 28–29°C or reach 30–32°C. New model consensus updates will clarify these thresholds before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$25Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign nearly identical 25% probabilities to maximum temperatures of 28–32°C in Panama City on August 26 because short-range forecast models show high uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and convective activity. Panama’s wet-season climate features frequent ITCZ-driven thunderstorms that can cap highs through evaporative cooling and reduced solar radiation, while breaks in cloudiness allow temperatures to climb closer to the 31–32°C end of the range. Local sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C set a stable baseline, with minor differences in boundary-layer humidity and steering winds determining whether peaks stay at 28–29°C or reach 30–32°C. New model consensus updates will clarify these thresholds before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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