United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the market at 69.5% because its incumbency, regional organization, and alignment with the presidential administration provide decisive advantages in Russia's managed electoral system ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote. Recent polls from state-linked firms such as VCIOM and FOM show the party holding 40–52% support among decided voters, far ahead of rivals, while single-member district dynamics and electronic voting further bolster its seat projection. New People has risen to second at 24.3% on the strength of its pro-business positioning and gains among younger or urban voters in the same surveys, though it remains well behind. The Liberal Democratic Party, Communists, and smaller parties trail due to narrower bases and limited momentum in the final weeks, with recent court rulings excluding additional opposition lists reinforcing the competitive landscape.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日統一ロシア（ER） 70%
ニューピープル（NL） 24.3%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） 4.5%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 1.4%
$24,959,035 Vol.
$24,959,035 Vol.
2026/09/29
統一ロシア（ER）
70%
ニューピープル（NL）
24%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
4%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
1%
ヤブロコ
<1%
ロジーナ
<1%
公正ロシア・ための真実（SRZP）
<1%
シビック・プラットフォーム（GP）
<1%
統一ロシア（ER） 70%
ニューピープル（NL） 24.3%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） 4.5%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 1.4%
$24,959,035 Vol.
$24,959,035 Vol.
2026/09/29
統一ロシア（ER）
$9,108,495 Vol.
70%
ニューピープル（NL）
$2,608,737 Vol.
24%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
$3,578,756 Vol.
4%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
$1,708,576 Vol.
1%
ヤブロコ
$1,653,647 Vol.
<1%
ロジーナ
$2,878,195 Vol.
<1%
公正ロシア・ための真実（SRZP）
$2,110,842 Vol.
<1%
シビック・プラットフォーム（GP）
$1,311,787 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the market at 69.5% because its incumbency, regional organization, and alignment with the presidential administration provide decisive advantages in Russia's managed electoral system ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote. Recent polls from state-linked firms such as VCIOM and FOM show the party holding 40–52% support among decided voters, far ahead of rivals, while single-member district dynamics and electronic voting further bolster its seat projection. New People has risen to second at 24.3% on the strength of its pro-business positioning and gains among younger or urban voters in the same surveys, though it remains well behind. The Liberal Democratic Party, Communists, and smaller parties trail due to narrower bases and limited momentum in the final weeks, with recent court rulings excluding additional opposition lists reinforcing the competitive landscape.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
マーケット開始日： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
音量
$24,959,035終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the market at 69.5% because its incumbency, regional organization, and alignment with the presidential administration provide decisive advantages in Russia's managed electoral system ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote. Recent polls from state-linked firms such as VCIOM and FOM show the party holding 40–52% support among decided voters, far ahead of rivals, while single-member district dynamics and electronic voting further bolster its seat projection. New People has risen to second at 24.3% on the strength of its pro-business positioning and gains among younger or urban voters in the same surveys, though it remains well behind. The Liberal Democratic Party, Communists, and smaller parties trail due to narrower bases and limited momentum in the final weeks, with recent court rulings excluding additional opposition lists reinforcing the competitive landscape.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
音量
$24,959,035終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the market at 69.5% because its incumbency, regional organization, and alignment with the presidential administration provide decisive advantages in Russia's managed electoral system ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote. Recent polls from state-linked firms such as VCIOM and FOM show the party holding 40–52% support among decided voters, far ahead of rivals, while single-member district dynamics and electronic voting further bolster its seat projection. New People has risen to second at 24.3% on the strength of its pro-business positioning and gains among younger or urban voters in the same surveys, though it remains well behind. The Liberal Democratic Party, Communists, and smaller parties trail due to narrower bases and limited momentum in the final weeks, with recent court rulings excluding additional opposition lists reinforcing the competitive landscape.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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