South Carolina’s 1st congressional district features an open seat after incumbent Republican Nancy Mace pursued the gubernatorial nomination instead. The district carries an R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and has favored Republicans in recent cycles, including comfortable margins for the party’s presidential nominee in 2024. Republican nominee Jenny Costa Honeycutt, a Charleston County councilor, and Democratic nominee Nancy Lacore, a former Navy admiral, emerged from June 2026 primaries and runoffs. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican on the basis of the district’s partisan lean, historical voting patterns, and limited evidence of a competitive general-election environment. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors while leaving room for movement if late-cycle polling or turnout shifts emerge before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$53,083 Vol.
$53,083 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
69%
民主党
31%
$53,083 Vol.
$53,083 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$12,580 Vol.
69%
民主党
$40,503 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina’s 1st congressional district features an open seat after incumbent Republican Nancy Mace pursued the gubernatorial nomination instead. The district carries an R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and has favored Republicans in recent cycles, including comfortable margins for the party’s presidential nominee in 2024. Republican nominee Jenny Costa Honeycutt, a Charleston County councilor, and Democratic nominee Nancy Lacore, a former Navy admiral, emerged from June 2026 primaries and runoffs. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican on the basis of the district’s partisan lean, historical voting patterns, and limited evidence of a competitive general-election environment. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors while leaving room for movement if late-cycle polling or turnout shifts emerge before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$53,083終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina’s 1st congressional district features an open seat after incumbent Republican Nancy Mace pursued the gubernatorial nomination instead. The district carries an R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and has favored Republicans in recent cycles, including comfortable margins for the party’s presidential nominee in 2024. Republican nominee Jenny Costa Honeycutt, a Charleston County councilor, and Democratic nominee Nancy Lacore, a former Navy admiral, emerged from June 2026 primaries and runoffs. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican on the basis of the district’s partisan lean, historical voting patterns, and limited evidence of a competitive general-election environment. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors while leaving room for movement if late-cycle polling or turnout shifts emerge before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$53,083終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina’s 1st congressional district features an open seat after incumbent Republican Nancy Mace pursued the gubernatorial nomination instead. The district carries an R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and has favored Republicans in recent cycles, including comfortable margins for the party’s presidential nominee in 2024. Republican nominee Jenny Costa Honeycutt, a Charleston County councilor, and Democratic nominee Nancy Lacore, a former Navy admiral, emerged from June 2026 primaries and runoffs. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican on the basis of the district’s partisan lean, historical voting patterns, and limited evidence of a competitive general-election environment. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors while leaving room for movement if late-cycle polling or turnout shifts emerge before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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