Colorado's 1st congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored in urban Denver, where the party has held the seat continuously since the 1990s and captured roughly 77% of the vote in the prior cycle. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a new nominee after Melat Kiros defeated long-serving incumbent Diana DeGette, yet the outcome preserved the party's control of the nomination against a Republican challenger running unopposed in her primary. Traders price the Democratic nominee as the heavy favorite because historical partisan lean, registration advantages, and recent general-election margins create structural barriers that have proven durable even during open-seat cycles or national headwinds. A late-breaking scandal, unexpectedly low Democratic turnout, or an unusually strong Republican national environment could narrow the gap, but such shifts have rarely overcome the district's consistent double-digit Democratic advantage in modern elections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$31,816 Vol.
$31,816 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
96%
共和党
5%
$31,816 Vol.
$31,816 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$13,555 Vol.
96%
共和党
$18,261 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Colorado's 1st congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored in urban Denver, where the party has held the seat continuously since the 1990s and captured roughly 77% of the vote in the prior cycle. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a new nominee after Melat Kiros defeated long-serving incumbent Diana DeGette, yet the outcome preserved the party's control of the nomination against a Republican challenger running unopposed in her primary. Traders price the Democratic nominee as the heavy favorite because historical partisan lean, registration advantages, and recent general-election margins create structural barriers that have proven durable even during open-seat cycles or national headwinds. A late-breaking scandal, unexpectedly low Democratic turnout, or an unusually strong Republican national environment could narrow the gap, but such shifts have rarely overcome the district's consistent double-digit Democratic advantage in modern elections.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$31,816終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Colorado's 1st congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored in urban Denver, where the party has held the seat continuously since the 1990s and captured roughly 77% of the vote in the prior cycle. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a new nominee after Melat Kiros defeated long-serving incumbent Diana DeGette, yet the outcome preserved the party's control of the nomination against a Republican challenger running unopposed in her primary. Traders price the Democratic nominee as the heavy favorite because historical partisan lean, registration advantages, and recent general-election margins create structural barriers that have proven durable even during open-seat cycles or national headwinds. A late-breaking scandal, unexpectedly low Democratic turnout, or an unusually strong Republican national environment could narrow the gap, but such shifts have rarely overcome the district's consistent double-digit Democratic advantage in modern elections.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$31,816終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colorado's 1st congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored in urban Denver, where the party has held the seat continuously since the 1990s and captured roughly 77% of the vote in the prior cycle. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a new nominee after Melat Kiros defeated long-serving incumbent Diana DeGette, yet the outcome preserved the party's control of the nomination against a Republican challenger running unopposed in her primary. Traders price the Democratic nominee as the heavy favorite because historical partisan lean, registration advantages, and recent general-election margins create structural barriers that have proven durable even during open-seat cycles or national headwinds. A late-breaking scandal, unexpectedly low Democratic turnout, or an unusually strong Republican national environment could narrow the gap, but such shifts have rarely overcome the district's consistent double-digit Democratic advantage in modern elections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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