Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed in March 2026 after his father’s assassination amid U.S.-Israel strikes, has issued attributed statements and held private meetings with officials yet maintained limited public visibility due to reported injuries and security threats during ongoing regional conflict. Trader sentiment on appearance timelines reflects uncertainty over his health, the regime’s preference for controlled messaging via state media, and institutional needs to project continuity without exposing the leader. Key catalysts include scheduled commemorations such as the July 2026 memorial events, potential official addresses, or diplomatic summits that could prompt a verified sighting. Resolution hinges on photographic or video confirmation meeting market criteria, with low-probability scenarios like sudden health disclosures or escalated threats able to shift timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$6,136,114 Vol.
2026/09/30
8月31日
5%
9月30日
9%
12月31日
23%
$6,136,114 Vol.
8月31日
$210,847 Vol.
5%
9月30日
$158,926 Vol.
9%
12月31日
$179,964 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed in March 2026 after his father’s assassination amid U.S.-Israel strikes, has issued attributed statements and held private meetings with officials yet maintained limited public visibility due to reported injuries and security threats during ongoing regional conflict. Trader sentiment on appearance timelines reflects uncertainty over his health, the regime’s preference for controlled messaging via state media, and institutional needs to project continuity without exposing the leader. Key catalysts include scheduled commemorations such as the July 2026 memorial events, potential official addresses, or diplomatic summits that could prompt a verified sighting. Resolution hinges on photographic or video confirmation meeting market criteria, with low-probability scenarios like sudden health disclosures or escalated threats able to shift timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
マーケット開始日： Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
音量
$6,136,114終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed in March 2026 after his father’s assassination amid U.S.-Israel strikes, has issued attributed statements and held private meetings with officials yet maintained limited public visibility due to reported injuries and security threats during ongoing regional conflict. Trader sentiment on appearance timelines reflects uncertainty over his health, the regime’s preference for controlled messaging via state media, and institutional needs to project continuity without exposing the leader. Key catalysts include scheduled commemorations such as the July 2026 memorial events, potential official addresses, or diplomatic summits that could prompt a verified sighting. Resolution hinges on photographic or video confirmation meeting market criteria, with low-probability scenarios like sudden health disclosures or escalated threats able to shift timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
音量
$6,136,114終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed in March 2026 after his father’s assassination amid U.S.-Israel strikes, has issued attributed statements and held private meetings with officials yet maintained limited public visibility due to reported injuries and security threats during ongoing regional conflict. Trader sentiment on appearance timelines reflects uncertainty over his health, the regime’s preference for controlled messaging via state media, and institutional needs to project continuity without exposing the leader. Key catalysts include scheduled commemorations such as the July 2026 memorial events, potential official addresses, or diplomatic summits that could prompt a verified sighting. Resolution hinges on photographic or video confirmation meeting market criteria, with low-probability scenarios like sudden health disclosures or escalated threats able to shift timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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