The short window remaining until the August 31, 2026, deadline limits prospects for a new signatory, as Abraham Accords-style normalization requires extended bilateral negotiations, security coordination, and often U.S. facilitation. Potential candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to link progress to Israeli-Palestinian issues and Gaza-related conditions that remain unresolved, while other states under consideration have shown no recent formal moves toward announcement or signing. Trader pricing at 82% for “No” aligns with the absence of imminent diplomatic breakthroughs, scheduled summits, or official statements indicating a deal could close within weeks. Historical patterns of these agreements further underscore the time needed for cabinet approvals, economic packages, and public positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/08/31
はい
新規
新規
2026/08/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.The short window remaining until the August 31, 2026, deadline limits prospects for a new signatory, as Abraham Accords-style normalization requires extended bilateral negotiations, security coordination, and often U.S. facilitation. Potential candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to link progress to Israeli-Palestinian issues and Gaza-related conditions that remain unresolved, while other states under consideration have shown no recent formal moves toward announcement or signing. Trader pricing at 82% for “No” aligns with the absence of imminent diplomatic breakthroughs, scheduled summits, or official statements indicating a deal could close within weeks. Historical patterns of these agreements further underscore the time needed for cabinet approvals, economic packages, and public positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
音量
$94終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.The short window remaining until the August 31, 2026, deadline limits prospects for a new signatory, as Abraham Accords-style normalization requires extended bilateral negotiations, security coordination, and often U.S. facilitation. Potential candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to link progress to Israeli-Palestinian issues and Gaza-related conditions that remain unresolved, while other states under consideration have shown no recent formal moves toward announcement or signing. Trader pricing at 82% for “No” aligns with the absence of imminent diplomatic breakthroughs, scheduled summits, or official statements indicating a deal could close within weeks. Historical patterns of these agreements further underscore the time needed for cabinet approvals, economic packages, and public positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$94終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The short window remaining until the August 31, 2026, deadline limits prospects for a new signatory, as Abraham Accords-style normalization requires extended bilateral negotiations, security coordination, and often U.S. facilitation. Potential candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to link progress to Israeli-Palestinian issues and Gaza-related conditions that remain unresolved, while other states under consideration have shown no recent formal moves toward announcement or signing. Trader pricing at 82% for “No” aligns with the absence of imminent diplomatic breakthroughs, scheduled summits, or official statements indicating a deal could close within weeks. Historical patterns of these agreements further underscore the time needed for cabinet approvals, economic packages, and public positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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