Skip to main content

米国で取引するにはpolymarket.us

icon for モハメド・ガリバフ、イラン議会議長に就任?

モハメド・ガリバフ、イラン議会議長に就任?

icon for モハメド・ガリバフ、イラン議会議長に就任?

モハメド・ガリバフ、イラン議会議長に就任?

$54,292 Vol.

2026/09/30
Polymarket

$54,292 Vol.

Polymarket

9月30日

$8,146 Vol.

3%

12月31日

$22,559 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf was re-elected Speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly in May 2026 for a seventh consecutive term with 235 of 271 votes cast, reflecting broad backing among lawmakers despite challengers from within the conservative bloc. Limited criticism from ultraconservative Paydari Party MPs emerged in June over his involvement in U.S. negotiations and temporary parliament closures, but internal tallies showed fewer than 30 opponents, leaving his leadership intact. As of early September 2026, Ghalibaf remains active in public statements on foreign policy, military posture, and economic issues amid ongoing regional tensions. Annual presiding board elections typically occur each May, and no scheduled vote or procedural mechanism currently points to removal before the next cycle. Trader sentiment centers on the durability of his institutional alliances and the absence of a viable alternative amid wartime coordination roles.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$54,292
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf was re-elected Speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly in May 2026 for a seventh consecutive term with 235 of 271 votes cast, reflecting broad backing among lawmakers despite challengers from within the conservative bloc. Limited criticism from ultraconservative Paydari Party MPs emerged in June over his involvement in U.S. negotiations and temporary parliament closures, but internal tallies showed fewer than 30 opponents, leaving his leadership intact. As of early September 2026, Ghalibaf remains active in public statements on foreign policy, military posture, and economic issues amid ongoing regional tensions. Annual presiding board elections typically occur each May, and no scheduled vote or procedural mechanism currently points to removal before the next cycle. Trader sentiment centers on the durability of his institutional alliances and the absence of a viable alternative amid wartime coordination roles.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$54,292
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「モハメド・ガリバフ、イラン議会議長に就任?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で13%、次いで「9月30日」が3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、13¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に13%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「モハメド・ガリバフ、イラン議会議長に就任?」は$54.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「モハメド・ガリバフ、イラン議会議長に就任?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「モハメド・ガリバフ、イラン議会議長に就任?」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で13%であり、市場がこの結果に13%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「9月30日」で3%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「モハメド・ガリバフ、イラン議会議長に就任?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。