Recent US sanctions under the Trump administration's "Operation Economic Outcast," including targeted measures on financial networks, shipping, and secondary actors, combined with a naval blockade restricting oil exports, have driven the unofficial USD/IRR rate to record levels near 2.07–2.08 million as of late August. Persistent high inflation at 66% and sharply reduced crude shipments to China sustain depreciation pressure on the rial. Diplomatic mediation efforts focused on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and limited additional sanctions announcements introduce near-term uncertainty. With the September resolution window approaching, trader consensus remains split between further weakening above 2.2 million and stabilization in the 2.0–2.1 million range, reflecting the balance between sustained economic isolation and any potential de-escalation signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日220万以上 43%
2,000,000〜2,100,000 32%
1,900,000~2,000,000 13%
2,100,000〜2,200,000 11.5%
<170万
1%
1,700,000~1,800,000
3%
1,800,000〜1,900,000
3%
1,900,000~2,000,000
13%
2,000,000〜2,100,000
32%
2,100,000〜2,200,000
12%
220万以上
43%
220万以上 43%
2,000,000〜2,100,000 32%
1,900,000~2,000,000 13%
2,100,000〜2,200,000 11.5%
<170万
1%
1,700,000~1,800,000
3%
1,800,000〜1,900,000
3%
1,900,000~2,000,000
13%
2,000,000〜2,100,000
32%
2,100,000〜2,200,000
12%
220万以上
43%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent US sanctions under the Trump administration's "Operation Economic Outcast," including targeted measures on financial networks, shipping, and secondary actors, combined with a naval blockade restricting oil exports, have driven the unofficial USD/IRR rate to record levels near 2.07–2.08 million as of late August. Persistent high inflation at 66% and sharply reduced crude shipments to China sustain depreciation pressure on the rial. Diplomatic mediation efforts focused on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and limited additional sanctions announcements introduce near-term uncertainty. With the September resolution window approaching, trader consensus remains split between further weakening above 2.2 million and stabilization in the 2.0–2.1 million range, reflecting the balance between sustained economic isolation and any potential de-escalation signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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