Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including renewed attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and related supply disruptions, have driven sharp volatility in crude benchmarks, with WTI surging as high as $105 per barrel in late July before settling near $82–85 recently. These moves reflect intermittent supply risks offset by inventory draws and shifting diplomatic signals, keeping prices well below the 2008 all-time high of $147. Key dynamics include OPEC+ production adjustments, non-OECD demand weakness, and U.S. shale output. Traders are watching upcoming inventory reports, potential FOMC signals on growth, and any further developments around Hormuz transit volumes that could influence near-term price paths.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$2,526,015 Vol.
2026/09/30
September 30
3%
December 31
12%
$2,526,015 Vol.
September 30
$1,011,821 Vol.
3%
December 31
$723,224 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including renewed attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and related supply disruptions, have driven sharp volatility in crude benchmarks, with WTI surging as high as $105 per barrel in late July before settling near $82–85 recently. These moves reflect intermittent supply risks offset by inventory draws and shifting diplomatic signals, keeping prices well below the 2008 all-time high of $147. Key dynamics include OPEC+ production adjustments, non-OECD demand weakness, and U.S. shale output. Traders are watching upcoming inventory reports, potential FOMC signals on growth, and any further developments around Hormuz transit volumes that could influence near-term price paths.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
音量
$2,526,015終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including renewed attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and related supply disruptions, have driven sharp volatility in crude benchmarks, with WTI surging as high as $105 per barrel in late July before settling near $82–85 recently. These moves reflect intermittent supply risks offset by inventory draws and shifting diplomatic signals, keeping prices well below the 2008 all-time high of $147. Key dynamics include OPEC+ production adjustments, non-OECD demand weakness, and U.S. shale output. Traders are watching upcoming inventory reports, potential FOMC signals on growth, and any further developments around Hormuz transit volumes that could influence near-term price paths.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
音量
$2,526,015終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including renewed attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and related supply disruptions, have driven sharp volatility in crude benchmarks, with WTI surging as high as $105 per barrel in late July before settling near $82–85 recently. These moves reflect intermittent supply risks offset by inventory draws and shifting diplomatic signals, keeping prices well below the 2008 all-time high of $147. Key dynamics include OPEC+ production adjustments, non-OECD demand weakness, and U.S. shale output. Traders are watching upcoming inventory reports, potential FOMC signals on growth, and any further developments around Hormuz transit volumes that could influence near-term price paths.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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