Elevated crude oil prices near $83 per barrel WTI and $88 Brent, supported by geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of U.S. regular gasoline averages holding around $4.10 per gallon in late August 2026. Tight inventories, running 6% below the five-year average, combined with steady summer driving demand, have limited downside while capping near-term upside through September. Record U.S. natural gas production and high storage levels exert indirect pressure via refining margins, though futures curves through September stay below key strike thresholds. The next EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook on September 9 and weekly inventory data will provide fresh signals on supply-demand balance ahead of the month-end resolution window. Trader consensus prices in modest probability of further spikes absent major disruptions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/09/30
↑ $4.50
42%
↑ $4.40
38%
↑ $4.30
44%
↑ $4.20
56%
↓ $4.00
54%
↓ $3.90
47%
↓ $3.70
39%
↓ $3.50
34%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $4.50
$0 Vol.
42%
↑ $4.40
$0 Vol.
38%
↑ $4.30
$0 Vol.
44%
↑ $4.20
$0 Vol.
56%
↓ $4.00
$0 Vol.
54%
↓ $3.90
$0 Vol.
47%
↓ $3.70
$0 Vol.
39%
↓ $3.50
$0 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated crude oil prices near $83 per barrel WTI and $88 Brent, supported by geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of U.S. regular gasoline averages holding around $4.10 per gallon in late August 2026. Tight inventories, running 6% below the five-year average, combined with steady summer driving demand, have limited downside while capping near-term upside through September. Record U.S. natural gas production and high storage levels exert indirect pressure via refining margins, though futures curves through September stay below key strike thresholds. The next EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook on September 9 and weekly inventory data will provide fresh signals on supply-demand balance ahead of the month-end resolution window. Trader consensus prices in modest probability of further spikes absent major disruptions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated crude oil prices near $83 per barrel WTI and $88 Brent, supported by geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of U.S. regular gasoline averages holding around $4.10 per gallon in late August 2026. Tight inventories, running 6% below the five-year average, combined with steady summer driving demand, have limited downside while capping near-term upside through September. Record U.S. natural gas production and high storage levels exert indirect pressure via refining margins, though futures curves through September stay below key strike thresholds. The next EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook on September 9 and weekly inventory data will provide fresh signals on supply-demand balance ahead of the month-end resolution window. Trader consensus prices in modest probability of further spikes absent major disruptions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Elevated crude oil prices near $83 per barrel WTI and $88 Brent, supported by geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of U.S. regular gasoline averages holding around $4.10 per gallon in late August 2026. Tight inventories, running 6% below the five-year average, combined with steady summer driving demand, have limited downside while capping near-term upside through September. Record U.S. natural gas production and high storage levels exert indirect pressure via refining margins, though futures curves through September stay below key strike thresholds. The next EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook on September 9 and weekly inventory data will provide fresh signals on supply-demand balance ahead of the month-end resolution window. Trader consensus prices in modest probability of further spikes absent major disruptions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問