Recent US-Iran military escalation, including strikes on Iranian targets and Iranian missile responses, has intensified sanctions pressure and disrupted oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz, driving the free-market rial to record lows above 2.2 million per dollar in early September. Persistent high inflation near 84 percent, reduced hard-currency inflows, and tightened US financial restrictions have compounded depreciation since the June ceasefire and oil-export waivers unraveled. Trader consensus clusters around the 2.0–3.0 million range because further conflict or sanctions could accelerate losses, while any renewed diplomacy, Central Bank interventions, or stabilized oil revenues might limit further weakening by year-end. The spread across nearby buckets reflects uncertainty over the pace and duration of these pressures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日200万〜250万 36%
2,500,000～3,000,000 28%
2,000,000未満 19%
3,000,000〜3,500,000 17%
新規
新規
2026/12/31
2,000,000未満
19%
200万〜250万
36%
2,500,000～3,000,000
28%
3,000,000〜3,500,000
17%
3,500,000〜4,000,000
6%
400万以上
5%
200万〜250万 36%
2,500,000～3,000,000 28%
2,000,000未満 19%
3,000,000〜3,500,000 17%
新規
新規
2026/12/31
2,000,000未満
$2,081 Vol.
19%
200万〜250万
$396 Vol.
36%
2,500,000～3,000,000
$254 Vol.
28%
3,000,000〜3,500,000
$181 Vol.
17%
3,500,000〜4,000,000
$61 Vol.
6%
400万以上
$61 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Recent US-Iran military escalation, including strikes on Iranian targets and Iranian missile responses, has intensified sanctions pressure and disrupted oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz, driving the free-market rial to record lows above 2.2 million per dollar in early September. Persistent high inflation near 84 percent, reduced hard-currency inflows, and tightened US financial restrictions have compounded depreciation since the June ceasefire and oil-export waivers unraveled. Trader consensus clusters around the 2.0–3.0 million range because further conflict or sanctions could accelerate losses, while any renewed diplomacy, Central Bank interventions, or stabilized oil revenues might limit further weakening by year-end. The spread across nearby buckets reflects uncertainty over the pace and duration of these pressures.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
音量
$3,034終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Recent US-Iran military escalation, including strikes on Iranian targets and Iranian missile responses, has intensified sanctions pressure and disrupted oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz, driving the free-market rial to record lows above 2.2 million per dollar in early September. Persistent high inflation near 84 percent, reduced hard-currency inflows, and tightened US financial restrictions have compounded depreciation since the June ceasefire and oil-export waivers unraveled. Trader consensus clusters around the 2.0–3.0 million range because further conflict or sanctions could accelerate losses, while any renewed diplomacy, Central Bank interventions, or stabilized oil revenues might limit further weakening by year-end. The spread across nearby buckets reflects uncertainty over the pace and duration of these pressures.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$3,034終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent US-Iran military escalation, including strikes on Iranian targets and Iranian missile responses, has intensified sanctions pressure and disrupted oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz, driving the free-market rial to record lows above 2.2 million per dollar in early September. Persistent high inflation near 84 percent, reduced hard-currency inflows, and tightened US financial restrictions have compounded depreciation since the June ceasefire and oil-export waivers unraveled. Trader consensus clusters around the 2.0–3.0 million range because further conflict or sanctions could accelerate losses, while any renewed diplomacy, Central Bank interventions, or stabilized oil revenues might limit further weakening by year-end. The spread across nearby buckets reflects uncertainty over the pace and duration of these pressures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問