Israeli and Lebanese officials agreed to a US-brokered ceasefire in April 2026 that ties any Israeli pullback from positions south of the Litani River to Hezbollah’s full withdrawal from the area and Lebanese Armed Forces enforcement of the buffer zone. Israel has since conducted ground operations and airstrikes beyond the river, including bridge demolitions and temporary control of strategic sites, while announcing phased, conditional withdrawals contingent on reduced Hezbollah presence. Defense Minister statements in June 2026 outlined pilot pullbacks between the Yellow Line and Litani once the Lebanese army clears operatives. Sporadic clashes and evacuation orders continued into August, reflecting persistent security concerns that traders cite as the main barrier to near-term full withdrawal. Scheduled diplomatic follow-ups and Lebanese force deployments remain the key variables that could shift timelines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,152,619 Vol.
2026/08/30
August 31
3%
December 31
11%
$1,152,619 Vol.
August 31
$97,700 Vol.
3%
December 31
$320,319 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli and Lebanese officials agreed to a US-brokered ceasefire in April 2026 that ties any Israeli pullback from positions south of the Litani River to Hezbollah’s full withdrawal from the area and Lebanese Armed Forces enforcement of the buffer zone. Israel has since conducted ground operations and airstrikes beyond the river, including bridge demolitions and temporary control of strategic sites, while announcing phased, conditional withdrawals contingent on reduced Hezbollah presence. Defense Minister statements in June 2026 outlined pilot pullbacks between the Yellow Line and Litani once the Lebanese army clears operatives. Sporadic clashes and evacuation orders continued into August, reflecting persistent security concerns that traders cite as the main barrier to near-term full withdrawal. Scheduled diplomatic follow-ups and Lebanese force deployments remain the key variables that could shift timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 20, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
音量
$1,152,619マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli and Lebanese officials agreed to a US-brokered ceasefire in April 2026 that ties any Israeli pullback from positions south of the Litani River to Hezbollah’s full withdrawal from the area and Lebanese Armed Forces enforcement of the buffer zone. Israel has since conducted ground operations and airstrikes beyond the river, including bridge demolitions and temporary control of strategic sites, while announcing phased, conditional withdrawals contingent on reduced Hezbollah presence. Defense Minister statements in June 2026 outlined pilot pullbacks between the Yellow Line and Litani once the Lebanese army clears operatives. Sporadic clashes and evacuation orders continued into August, reflecting persistent security concerns that traders cite as the main barrier to near-term full withdrawal. Scheduled diplomatic follow-ups and Lebanese force deployments remain the key variables that could shift timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
音量
$1,152,619マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli and Lebanese officials agreed to a US-brokered ceasefire in April 2026 that ties any Israeli pullback from positions south of the Litani River to Hezbollah’s full withdrawal from the area and Lebanese Armed Forces enforcement of the buffer zone. Israel has since conducted ground operations and airstrikes beyond the river, including bridge demolitions and temporary control of strategic sites, while announcing phased, conditional withdrawals contingent on reduced Hezbollah presence. Defense Minister statements in June 2026 outlined pilot pullbacks between the Yellow Line and Litani once the Lebanese army clears operatives. Sporadic clashes and evacuation orders continued into August, reflecting persistent security concerns that traders cite as the main barrier to near-term full withdrawal. Scheduled diplomatic follow-ups and Lebanese force deployments remain the key variables that could shift timelines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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