Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District remains rated Likely Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report ahead of the November 2026 general election. Angie Craig's decision to vacate the seat for a Senate bid created an open contest, yet the district's suburban Minneapolis composition and recent voting patterns sustain a structural advantage for Democratic nominees. Matt Little's victory in the August 11 Democratic primary consolidated support behind a state-endorsed candidate, limiting intra-party divisions that could have narrowed the margin. Republican nominee Eric Pratt faces an uphill path in a district where Democrats have held the seat since 2019. Trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals, though a significant national Republican wave, turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or late developments in candidate positioning could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,727 Vol.
$18,727 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
92%
共和党
9%
$18,727 Vol.
$18,727 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
$8,415 Vol.
92%
共和党
$10,312 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District remains rated Likely Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report ahead of the November 2026 general election. Angie Craig's decision to vacate the seat for a Senate bid created an open contest, yet the district's suburban Minneapolis composition and recent voting patterns sustain a structural advantage for Democratic nominees. Matt Little's victory in the August 11 Democratic primary consolidated support behind a state-endorsed candidate, limiting intra-party divisions that could have narrowed the margin. Republican nominee Eric Pratt faces an uphill path in a district where Democrats have held the seat since 2019. Trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals, though a significant national Republican wave, turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or late developments in candidate positioning could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
音量
$18,727終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District remains rated Likely Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report ahead of the November 2026 general election. Angie Craig's decision to vacate the seat for a Senate bid created an open contest, yet the district's suburban Minneapolis composition and recent voting patterns sustain a structural advantage for Democratic nominees. Matt Little's victory in the August 11 Democratic primary consolidated support behind a state-endorsed candidate, limiting intra-party divisions that could have narrowed the margin. Republican nominee Eric Pratt faces an uphill path in a district where Democrats have held the seat since 2019. Trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals, though a significant national Republican wave, turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or late developments in candidate positioning could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,727終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District remains rated Likely Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report ahead of the November 2026 general election. Angie Craig's decision to vacate the seat for a Senate bid created an open contest, yet the district's suburban Minneapolis composition and recent voting patterns sustain a structural advantage for Democratic nominees. Matt Little's victory in the August 11 Democratic primary consolidated support behind a state-endorsed candidate, limiting intra-party divisions that could have narrowed the margin. Republican nominee Eric Pratt faces an uphill path in a district where Democrats have held the seat since 2019. Trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals, though a significant national Republican wave, turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or late developments in candidate positioning could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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