Madeleine Dean’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Pennsylvania’s 4th congressional district stems from the seat’s strong Democratic lean, rooted in its Philadelphia suburban Montgomery County base and consistent voter patterns. Dean secured re-election with 59 percent in 2024 and faced no serious primary opposition in May 2026, while Republican nominee Aurora Stuski emerged from a low-profile contest. Fundraising records and historical margins reinforce trader consensus around an overwhelming Democratic advantage heading into the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural fundamentals make such reversals improbable based on current evidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,199 Vol.
$19,199 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$19,199 Vol.
$19,199 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$6,741 Vol.
95%
共和党
$12,459 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Madeleine Dean’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Pennsylvania’s 4th congressional district stems from the seat’s strong Democratic lean, rooted in its Philadelphia suburban Montgomery County base and consistent voter patterns. Dean secured re-election with 59 percent in 2024 and faced no serious primary opposition in May 2026, while Republican nominee Aurora Stuski emerged from a low-profile contest. Fundraising records and historical margins reinforce trader consensus around an overwhelming Democratic advantage heading into the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural fundamentals make such reversals improbable based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$19,199終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Madeleine Dean’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Pennsylvania’s 4th congressional district stems from the seat’s strong Democratic lean, rooted in its Philadelphia suburban Montgomery County base and consistent voter patterns. Dean secured re-election with 59 percent in 2024 and faced no serious primary opposition in May 2026, while Republican nominee Aurora Stuski emerged from a low-profile contest. Fundraising records and historical margins reinforce trader consensus around an overwhelming Democratic advantage heading into the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural fundamentals make such reversals improbable based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$19,199終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Madeleine Dean’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Pennsylvania’s 4th congressional district stems from the seat’s strong Democratic lean, rooted in its Philadelphia suburban Montgomery County base and consistent voter patterns. Dean secured re-election with 59 percent in 2024 and faced no serious primary opposition in May 2026, while Republican nominee Aurora Stuski emerged from a low-profile contest. Fundraising records and historical margins reinforce trader consensus around an overwhelming Democratic advantage heading into the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural fundamentals make such reversals improbable based on current evidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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