Recent forecast models from sources including the Central Weather Administration and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Taipei around 23–24°C for September 7, driven by persistent moisture from the southwest monsoon, scattered showers, and variable cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with September climatology, where average minimums hover near 24–25°C amid high humidity and frequent precipitation. Trader consensus reflected in the elevated implied probability for 19°C or below appears to incorporate uncertainty from potential heavier rainfall or model spread on steering patterns, while probabilities clustered near 23–24°C capture the baseline expectation from current runs. Upcoming model updates and any typhoon-related circulation shifts could refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月7日の台北の最低気温は？
9月7日の台北の最低気温は？
19℃以下 100%
20℃ 49%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/07
19℃以下
100%
20℃
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
32%
24℃
32%
25℃
26%
26℃
49%
27℃
49%
28℃
2%
29℃以上
35%
19℃以下 100%
20℃ 49%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/07
19℃以下
$0 Vol.
100%
20℃
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$1 Vol.
32%
24℃
$1 Vol.
32%
25℃
$0 Vol.
26%
26℃
$0 Vol.
49%
27℃
$0 Vol.
49%
28℃
$0 Vol.
2%
29℃以上
$0 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Central Weather Administration and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Taipei around 23–24°C for September 7, driven by persistent moisture from the southwest monsoon, scattered showers, and variable cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with September climatology, where average minimums hover near 24–25°C amid high humidity and frequent precipitation. Trader consensus reflected in the elevated implied probability for 19°C or below appears to incorporate uncertainty from potential heavier rainfall or model spread on steering patterns, while probabilities clustered near 23–24°C capture the baseline expectation from current runs. Upcoming model updates and any typhoon-related circulation shifts could refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$2終了日
2026/09/07マーケット開始日
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Central Weather Administration and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Taipei around 23–24°C for September 7, driven by persistent moisture from the southwest monsoon, scattered showers, and variable cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with September climatology, where average minimums hover near 24–25°C amid high humidity and frequent precipitation. Trader consensus reflected in the elevated implied probability for 19°C or below appears to incorporate uncertainty from potential heavier rainfall or model spread on steering patterns, while probabilities clustered near 23–24°C capture the baseline expectation from current runs. Upcoming model updates and any typhoon-related circulation shifts could refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2終了日
2026/09/07マーケット開始日
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources including the Central Weather Administration and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Taipei around 23–24°C for September 7, driven by persistent moisture from the southwest monsoon, scattered showers, and variable cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with September climatology, where average minimums hover near 24–25°C amid high humidity and frequent precipitation. Trader consensus reflected in the elevated implied probability for 19°C or below appears to incorporate uncertainty from potential heavier rainfall or model spread on steering patterns, while probabilities clustered near 23–24°C capture the baseline expectation from current runs. Upcoming model updates and any typhoon-related circulation shifts could refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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