Traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities around 26% each to a 25–27°C low for Kuala Lumpur on September 1, reflecting the narrow historical September minimum range of 23–25°C and limited model spread in current forecasts. In this equatorial setting, overnight radiative cooling is modest, typically yielding a 6–8°C diurnal range shaped by persistent high humidity near 90% and frequent convective cloud cover that reduces net longwave loss. The Southwest Monsoon and local urban heat island—intensified by concrete and reduced vegetation—further moderate nighttime drops, while brief showers or clearer spells can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Upcoming high-resolution model runs and official observations will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or upper end of this tight cluster.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日のクアラルンプールの最低気温は?
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
23°C 26%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
24%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
23°C 26%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
24%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities around 26% each to a 25–27°C low for Kuala Lumpur on September 1, reflecting the narrow historical September minimum range of 23–25°C and limited model spread in current forecasts. In this equatorial setting, overnight radiative cooling is modest, typically yielding a 6–8°C diurnal range shaped by persistent high humidity near 90% and frequent convective cloud cover that reduces net longwave loss. The Southwest Monsoon and local urban heat island—intensified by concrete and reduced vegetation—further moderate nighttime drops, while brief showers or clearer spells can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Upcoming high-resolution model runs and official observations will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or upper end of this tight cluster.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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