Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance point to an overnight low of 68–71°F in Chicago on September 5, 2026, driven by northeast winds off Lake Michigan that limit radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity and preventing sharp drops. Persistent warmth from early September, with prior highs near 90°F, has kept baseline temperatures elevated, but strengthening onshore flow and partial clearing after patchy fog introduce variability in the exact minimum. Traders see tight clustering around 68–75°F ranges because small differences in wind speed, cloud cover timing, or station-specific readings (O’Hare versus downtown) can shift the daily low by 2–3°F. Historical September averages near 62°F underscore the current anomaly, with resolution hinging on official observations through midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日のシカゴの最低気温は?
72~73°F 36%
68~69°F 35%
華氏74~75度 35%
70~71°F 35%
65°F以下
21%
66~67°F
33%
68~69°F
35%
70~71°F
35%
72~73°F
36%
華氏74~75度
35%
76~77°F
33%
78〜79°F
<1%
80〜81°F
<1%
82〜83°F
<1%
84°F以上
<1%
72~73°F 36%
68~69°F 35%
華氏74~75度 35%
70~71°F 35%
65°F以下
21%
66~67°F
33%
68~69°F
35%
70~71°F
35%
72~73°F
36%
華氏74~75度
35%
76~77°F
33%
78〜79°F
<1%
80〜81°F
<1%
82〜83°F
<1%
84°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance point to an overnight low of 68–71°F in Chicago on September 5, 2026, driven by northeast winds off Lake Michigan that limit radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity and preventing sharp drops. Persistent warmth from early September, with prior highs near 90°F, has kept baseline temperatures elevated, but strengthening onshore flow and partial clearing after patchy fog introduce variability in the exact minimum. Traders see tight clustering around 68–75°F ranges because small differences in wind speed, cloud cover timing, or station-specific readings (O’Hare versus downtown) can shift the daily low by 2–3°F. Historical September averages near 62°F underscore the current anomaly, with resolution hinging on official observations through midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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