Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability (99.6%) to the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30 reaching 6°C or below. This reflects current Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with polar air advection and clear skies promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that has driven model consensus toward minimums near or below seasonal norms of roughly 7°C. Official monitoring shows recent overnight lows already approaching single digits, aligning with the market-implied outcome. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded at the central observatory. An unexpected warm advection or thicker cloud cover could raise readings above 6°C, though current atmospheric setup makes such reversal improbable before the close of the 24-hour period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のブエノスアイレスの最低気温は？
8月30日のブエノスアイレスの最低気温は？
6℃以下 99.6%
8℃ <1%
10°C <1%
9℃ <1%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
6℃以下
100%
7℃
1%
8℃
1%
9℃
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16℃以上
<1%
6℃以下 99.6%
8℃ <1%
10°C <1%
9℃ <1%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
6℃以下
$934 Vol.
100%
7℃
$264 Vol.
1%
8℃
$281 Vol.
1%
9℃
$271 Vol.
1%
10°C
$224 Vol.
1%
11°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
16℃以上
$73 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability (99.6%) to the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30 reaching 6°C or below. This reflects current Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with polar air advection and clear skies promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that has driven model consensus toward minimums near or below seasonal norms of roughly 7°C. Official monitoring shows recent overnight lows already approaching single digits, aligning with the market-implied outcome. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded at the central observatory. An unexpected warm advection or thicker cloud cover could raise readings above 6°C, though current atmospheric setup makes such reversal improbable before the close of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
音量
$2,482終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability (99.6%) to the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30 reaching 6°C or below. This reflects current Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with polar air advection and clear skies promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that has driven model consensus toward minimums near or below seasonal norms of roughly 7°C. Official monitoring shows recent overnight lows already approaching single digits, aligning with the market-implied outcome. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded at the central observatory. An unexpected warm advection or thicker cloud cover could raise readings above 6°C, though current atmospheric setup makes such reversal improbable before the close of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,482終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETTrader consensus assigns overwhelming probability (99.6%) to the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30 reaching 6°C or below. This reflects current Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with polar air advection and clear skies promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that has driven model consensus toward minimums near or below seasonal norms of roughly 7°C. Official monitoring shows recent overnight lows already approaching single digits, aligning with the market-implied outcome. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded at the central observatory. An unexpected warm advection or thicker cloud cover could raise readings above 6°C, though current atmospheric setup makes such reversal improbable before the close of the 24-hour period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問