Recent model consensus from MetService and global ensembles positions 15°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Wellington on September 6, reflecting mild northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching front that will introduce cooler southeasterlies later in the day. Current observations show temperatures near 14°C under cloudy, windy conditions, with forecast highs of 13–16°C across sources, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C (58.5%) and 16°C (31.5%). Spring climatology supports these values near the seasonal average, though timing of the frontal passage introduces modest uncertainty in peak readings. Updated guidance expected tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for this single-day maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
9月6日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
15℃ 59%
16℃ 32%
14℃ 8%
17℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
9℃以下
<1%
10℃
<1%
11°C
<1%
12℃
<1%
13℃
1%
14℃
8%
15℃
59%
16℃
32%
17℃
5%
18℃
<1%
19℃以上
<1%
15℃ 59%
16℃ 32%
14℃ 8%
17℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
9℃以下
$199 Vol.
<1%
10℃
$189 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$374 Vol.
<1%
12℃
$290 Vol.
<1%
13℃
$339 Vol.
1%
14℃
$2,825 Vol.
8%
15℃
$1,995 Vol.
59%
16℃
$1,600 Vol.
32%
17℃
$639 Vol.
5%
18℃
$107 Vol.
<1%
19℃以上
$405 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from MetService and global ensembles positions 15°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Wellington on September 6, reflecting mild northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching front that will introduce cooler southeasterlies later in the day. Current observations show temperatures near 14°C under cloudy, windy conditions, with forecast highs of 13–16°C across sources, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C (58.5%) and 16°C (31.5%). Spring climatology supports these values near the seasonal average, though timing of the frontal passage introduces modest uncertainty in peak readings. Updated guidance expected tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for this single-day maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$8,962終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from MetService and global ensembles positions 15°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Wellington on September 6, reflecting mild northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching front that will introduce cooler southeasterlies later in the day. Current observations show temperatures near 14°C under cloudy, windy conditions, with forecast highs of 13–16°C across sources, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C (58.5%) and 16°C (31.5%). Spring climatology supports these values near the seasonal average, though timing of the frontal passage introduces modest uncertainty in peak readings. Updated guidance expected tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for this single-day maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$8,962終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent model consensus from MetService and global ensembles positions 15°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Wellington on September 6, reflecting mild northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching front that will introduce cooler southeasterlies later in the day. Current observations show temperatures near 14°C under cloudy, windy conditions, with forecast highs of 13–16°C across sources, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C (58.5%) and 16°C (31.5%). Spring climatology supports these values near the seasonal average, though timing of the frontal passage introduces modest uncertainty in peak readings. Updated guidance expected tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for this single-day maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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