Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including hourly observations and model consensus, indicate Qingdao's maximum temperature on August 30 will reach 27°C amid mostly cloudy skies, northerly winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale, and moderate humidity near 80%. Current readings peaking around midday at or below this threshold, combined with stable atmospheric conditions, underpin the near-certain market-implied probability for 27°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted spike from localized warming or station measurement variance exceeding typical error margins, though model agreement and ongoing data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日の青島の最高気温は？
8月30日の青島の最高気温は？
27°C 99.6%
28℃ <1%
29℃ <1%
23°C以下 <1%
$20,469 Vol.
$20,469 Vol.
2026/08/30
23°C以下
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28℃
1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃以上
<1%
27°C 99.6%
28℃ <1%
29℃ <1%
23°C以下 <1%
$20,469 Vol.
$20,469 Vol.
2026/08/30
23°C以下
$94 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$1,515 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$4,087 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,335 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,250 Vol.
100%
28℃
$2,434 Vol.
1%
29℃
$2,001 Vol.
<1%
30℃
$1,290 Vol.
<1%
31℃
$1,123 Vol.
<1%
32℃
$220 Vol.
<1%
33℃以上
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including hourly observations and model consensus, indicate Qingdao's maximum temperature on August 30 will reach 27°C amid mostly cloudy skies, northerly winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale, and moderate humidity near 80%. Current readings peaking around midday at or below this threshold, combined with stable atmospheric conditions, underpin the near-certain market-implied probability for 27°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted spike from localized warming or station measurement variance exceeding typical error margins, though model agreement and ongoing data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$20,469終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including hourly observations and model consensus, indicate Qingdao's maximum temperature on August 30 will reach 27°C amid mostly cloudy skies, northerly winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale, and moderate humidity near 80%. Current readings peaking around midday at or below this threshold, combined with stable atmospheric conditions, underpin the near-certain market-implied probability for 27°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted spike from localized warming or station measurement variance exceeding typical error margins, though model agreement and ongoing data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$20,469終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including hourly observations and model consensus, indicate Qingdao's maximum temperature on August 30 will reach 27°C amid mostly cloudy skies, northerly winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale, and moderate humidity near 80%. Current readings peaking around midday at or below this threshold, combined with stable atmospheric conditions, underpin the near-certain market-implied probability for 27°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted spike from localized warming or station measurement variance exceeding typical error margins, though model agreement and ongoing data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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