Recent forecast model consensus from the India Meteorological Department and global ensembles positions 31°C as the most likely daily maximum in Lucknow on September 6, reflecting typical late-monsoon conditions with moderate cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds limiting radiative heating. Trader positioning at 48.5% implied probability aligns with this baseline while assigning meaningful weight to 30°C (27%) and 32°C (21%) outcomes, underscoring remaining uncertainty from short-range variability in rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical September maxima near 32–34°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and soil moisture from prior rains favor values clustered around 30–32°C. Updated IMD guidance and next model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のラクナウの最高気温は？
9月6日のラクナウの最高気温は？
31℃ 49%
30℃ 27%
32℃ 21%
29℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
1%
28°C
2%
29℃
5%
30℃
27%
31℃
49%
32℃
21%
33℃
3%
34℃以上
<1%
31℃ 49%
30℃ 27%
32℃ 21%
29℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
24℃以下
$395 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$311 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$210 Vol.
1%
28°C
$391 Vol.
2%
29℃
$498 Vol.
5%
30℃
$172 Vol.
27%
31℃
$313 Vol.
49%
32℃
$306 Vol.
21%
33℃
$89 Vol.
3%
34℃以上
$93 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from the India Meteorological Department and global ensembles positions 31°C as the most likely daily maximum in Lucknow on September 6, reflecting typical late-monsoon conditions with moderate cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds limiting radiative heating. Trader positioning at 48.5% implied probability aligns with this baseline while assigning meaningful weight to 30°C (27%) and 32°C (21%) outcomes, underscoring remaining uncertainty from short-range variability in rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical September maxima near 32–34°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and soil moisture from prior rains favor values clustered around 30–32°C. Updated IMD guidance and next model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$2,912終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from the India Meteorological Department and global ensembles positions 31°C as the most likely daily maximum in Lucknow on September 6, reflecting typical late-monsoon conditions with moderate cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds limiting radiative heating. Trader positioning at 48.5% implied probability aligns with this baseline while assigning meaningful weight to 30°C (27%) and 32°C (21%) outcomes, underscoring remaining uncertainty from short-range variability in rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical September maxima near 32–34°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and soil moisture from prior rains favor values clustered around 30–32°C. Updated IMD guidance and next model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,912終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus from the India Meteorological Department and global ensembles positions 31°C as the most likely daily maximum in Lucknow on September 6, reflecting typical late-monsoon conditions with moderate cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds limiting radiative heating. Trader positioning at 48.5% implied probability aligns with this baseline while assigning meaningful weight to 30°C (27%) and 32°C (21%) outcomes, underscoring remaining uncertainty from short-range variability in rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical September maxima near 32–34°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and soil moisture from prior rains favor values clustered around 30–32°C. Updated IMD guidance and next model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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