Official temperature observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport and nearby National Weather Service stations established a daily maximum of 98–99°F on August 29, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the low 70s. This outcome aligned with model consensus from the prior 48 hours showing suppressed afternoon heating due to a modest increase in mid-level moisture and reduced insolation compared to the preceding heat wave. The 100% market-implied probability for the 98–99°F bin reflects verified surface data rather than forecasts, with minimal dispersion across reporting sites. A realistic challenge would require post-analysis revisions from instrumentation discrepancies or station siting adjustments exceeding 2°F, an infrequent occurrence given standardized protocols.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のオースティンの最高気温は？
8月29日のオースティンの最高気温は？
$21,492 Vol.
$21,492 Vol.
2026/08/29
98〜99°F
100%
100～101°F
<1%
$21,492 Vol.
$21,492 Vol.
2026/08/29
98〜99°F
$6,613 Vol.
100%
100～101°F
$4,426 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport and nearby National Weather Service stations established a daily maximum of 98–99°F on August 29, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the low 70s. This outcome aligned with model consensus from the prior 48 hours showing suppressed afternoon heating due to a modest increase in mid-level moisture and reduced insolation compared to the preceding heat wave. The 100% market-implied probability for the 98–99°F bin reflects verified surface data rather than forecasts, with minimal dispersion across reporting sites. A realistic challenge would require post-analysis revisions from instrumentation discrepancies or station siting adjustments exceeding 2°F, an infrequent occurrence given standardized protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
音量
$21,492終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport and nearby National Weather Service stations established a daily maximum of 98–99°F on August 29, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the low 70s. This outcome aligned with model consensus from the prior 48 hours showing suppressed afternoon heating due to a modest increase in mid-level moisture and reduced insolation compared to the preceding heat wave. The 100% market-implied probability for the 98–99°F bin reflects verified surface data rather than forecasts, with minimal dispersion across reporting sites. A realistic challenge would require post-analysis revisions from instrumentation discrepancies or station siting adjustments exceeding 2°F, an infrequent occurrence given standardized protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$21,492終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETOfficial temperature observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport and nearby National Weather Service stations established a daily maximum of 98–99°F on August 29, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the low 70s. This outcome aligned with model consensus from the prior 48 hours showing suppressed afternoon heating due to a modest increase in mid-level moisture and reduced insolation compared to the preceding heat wave. The 100% market-implied probability for the 98–99°F bin reflects verified surface data rather than forecasts, with minimal dispersion across reporting sites. A realistic challenge would require post-analysis revisions from instrumentation discrepancies or station siting adjustments exceeding 2°F, an infrequent occurrence given standardized protocols.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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