Incumbent Republican Greg Steube holds a commanding position in Florida's 17th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and a history of Republican victories including his 2024 reelection with 63.9 percent. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, citing the absence of a viable Democratic challenger despite an August 18 primary between Matthew Montavon and Allen Spence. The district's voter composition and lack of competitive opposition underpin the 91 percent implied probability for a Republican winner. Scenarios that could narrow this margin include a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Democratic wave, or a late surge by the eventual Democratic nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,845 Vol.
$15,845 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
8%
$15,845 Vol.
$15,845 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,211 Vol.
91%
民主党
$7,634 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Steube holds a commanding position in Florida's 17th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and a history of Republican victories including his 2024 reelection with 63.9 percent. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, citing the absence of a viable Democratic challenger despite an August 18 primary between Matthew Montavon and Allen Spence. The district's voter composition and lack of competitive opposition underpin the 91 percent implied probability for a Republican winner. Scenarios that could narrow this margin include a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Democratic wave, or a late surge by the eventual Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$15,845終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Steube holds a commanding position in Florida's 17th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and a history of Republican victories including his 2024 reelection with 63.9 percent. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, citing the absence of a viable Democratic challenger despite an August 18 primary between Matthew Montavon and Allen Spence. The district's voter composition and lack of competitive opposition underpin the 91 percent implied probability for a Republican winner. Scenarios that could narrow this margin include a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Democratic wave, or a late surge by the eventual Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,845終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Steube holds a commanding position in Florida's 17th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and a history of Republican victories including his 2024 reelection with 63.9 percent. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, citing the absence of a viable Democratic challenger despite an August 18 primary between Matthew Montavon and Allen Spence. The district's voter composition and lack of competitive opposition underpin the 91 percent implied probability for a Republican winner. Scenarios that could narrow this margin include a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Democratic wave, or a late surge by the eventual Democratic nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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