**Charles Page of the Parti Québécois holds the highest implied probability among traders at 59.5 percent in the Drummond–Bois-Francs riding for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, ahead of incumbent Sébastien Schneeberger of the Coalition Avenir Québec at 37.5 percent.** Projections from aggregators updated in early September show the PQ leading projected vote share in the low-to-mid 30s percent range compared with the CAQ in the mid-20s, reflecting broader provincial trends where the PQ has gained ground since the 2022 election while the CAQ has declined. Page’s August 22 nomination as a high-profile local alpinist and entrepreneur has added visibility in a riding redrawn for 2026, whereas Schneeberger seeks a further term after representing the area since 2012. Myriam Cournoyer of the Parti conservateur du Québec trails at low single digits. The outcome remains sensitive to final candidate confirmations before the September 17 deadline and any late shifts in regional turnout or party momentum ahead of election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日チャールズ・ページ 57%
セバスチャン・シュネーベルガー 38%
ミリアム・クルヌワイエ 2.6%
新規
新規
2026/10/05
チャールズ・ページ
57%
セバスチャン・シュネーベルガー
38%
ミリアム・クルヌワイエ
3%
チャールズ・ページ 57%
セバスチャン・シュネーベルガー 38%
ミリアム・クルヌワイエ 2.6%
新規
新規
2026/10/05
チャールズ・ページ
$284 Vol.
57%
セバスチャン・シュネーベルガー
$789 Vol.
38%
ミリアム・クルヌワイエ
$1,436 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**Charles Page of the Parti Québécois holds the highest implied probability among traders at 59.5 percent in the Drummond–Bois-Francs riding for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, ahead of incumbent Sébastien Schneeberger of the Coalition Avenir Québec at 37.5 percent.**
Projections from aggregators updated in early September show the PQ leading projected vote share in the low-to-mid 30s percent range compared with the CAQ in the mid-20s, reflecting broader provincial trends where the PQ has gained ground since the 2022 election while the CAQ has declined. Page’s August 22 nomination as a high-profile local alpinist and entrepreneur has added visibility in a riding redrawn for 2026, whereas Schneeberger seeks a further term after representing the area since 2012. Myriam Cournoyer of the Parti conservateur du Québec trails at low single digits. The outcome remains sensitive to final candidate confirmations before the September 17 deadline and any late shifts in regional turnout or party momentum ahead of election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
音量
$2,509終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**Charles Page of the Parti Québécois holds the highest implied probability among traders at 59.5 percent in the Drummond–Bois-Francs riding for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, ahead of incumbent Sébastien Schneeberger of the Coalition Avenir Québec at 37.5 percent.**
Projections from aggregators updated in early September show the PQ leading projected vote share in the low-to-mid 30s percent range compared with the CAQ in the mid-20s, reflecting broader provincial trends where the PQ has gained ground since the 2022 election while the CAQ has declined. Page’s August 22 nomination as a high-profile local alpinist and entrepreneur has added visibility in a riding redrawn for 2026, whereas Schneeberger seeks a further term after representing the area since 2012. Myriam Cournoyer of the Parti conservateur du Québec trails at low single digits. The outcome remains sensitive to final candidate confirmations before the September 17 deadline and any late shifts in regional turnout or party momentum ahead of election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
音量
$2,509終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET**Charles Page of the Parti Québécois holds the highest implied probability among traders at 59.5 percent in the Drummond–Bois-Francs riding for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, ahead of incumbent Sébastien Schneeberger of the Coalition Avenir Québec at 37.5 percent.** Projections from aggregators updated in early September show the PQ leading projected vote share in the low-to-mid 30s percent range compared with the CAQ in the mid-20s, reflecting broader provincial trends where the PQ has gained ground since the 2022 election while the CAQ has declined. Page’s August 22 nomination as a high-profile local alpinist and entrepreneur has added visibility in a riding redrawn for 2026, whereas Schneeberger seeks a further term after representing the area since 2012. Myriam Cournoyer of the Parti conservateur du Québec trails at low single digits. The outcome remains sensitive to final candidate confirmations before the September 17 deadline and any late shifts in regional turnout or party momentum ahead of election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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