Skip to main content

Per fare trading negli USA, vai su polymarket.us

icon for Petrolio venezuelano aggiunto alla riserva strategica di petrolio da...?
Mondo·Trump

Petrolio venezuelano aggiunto alla riserva strategica di petrolio da...?

icon for Petrolio venezuelano aggiunto alla riserva strategica di petrolio da...?
Mondo·Trump

Petrolio venezuelano aggiunto alla riserva strategica di petrolio da...?

NUOVO
30 set 2026
Polymarket

$856 Vol.

Polymarket

30 settembre

$856 Vol.

3%

31 dicembre

$0 Vol.

25%

On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S. access to Venezuelan production through a new equity stake in multiple fields underpins trader focus on Strategic Petroleum Reserve replenishment. The SPR sits near a 44-year low at roughly 290 million barrels after releases tied to the Iran conflict, prompting Energy Secretary Chris Wright to outline potential swaps of heavy Venezuelan crude for lighter domestic grades suitable for storage caverns. Current Venezuelan output near 1.25 million barrels per day already directs over 500,000 barrels daily to U.S. Gulf refineries, yet quality mismatches and infrastructure constraints suggest any meaningful addition will unfold gradually rather than immediately. Upcoming production ramp timelines and Federal Reserve or Treasury data on energy balances remain key variables for implied probabilities.

On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.

The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$856
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S. access to Venezuelan production through a new equity stake in multiple fields underpins trader focus on Strategic Petroleum Reserve replenishment. The SPR sits near a 44-year low at roughly 290 million barrels after releases tied to the Iran conflict, prompting Energy Secretary Chris Wright to outline potential swaps of heavy Venezuelan crude for lighter domestic grades suitable for storage caverns. Current Venezuelan output near 1.25 million barrels per day already directs over 500,000 barrels daily to U.S. Gulf refineries, yet quality mismatches and infrastructure constraints suggest any meaningful addition will unfold gradually rather than immediately. Upcoming production ramp timelines and Federal Reserve or Treasury data on energy balances remain key variables for implied probabilities.

On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.

The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$856
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

Correlati

icon for Le riserve di petrolio greggio degli Stati Uniti scenderanno a 280 milioni entro il 25 settembre 2026?

Le riserve di petrolio greggio degli Stati Uniti scenderanno a 280 milioni entro il 25 settembre 2026?

83%
Sì
icon for Gli Stati Uniti invaderanno il Venezuela entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

Gli Stati Uniti invaderanno il Venezuela entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

3%
Sì
icon for Il Venezuela diventerà il 51º stato?

Il Venezuela diventerà il 51º stato?

2%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Petrolio venezuelano aggiunto alla riserva strategica di petrolio da...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "31 dicembre" a 25%, seguito da "30 settembre" a 3%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 25¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 25% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Petrolio venezuelano aggiunto alla riserva strategica di petrolio da...?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 2, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Petrolio venezuelano aggiunto alla riserva strategica di petrolio da...?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Petrolio venezuelano aggiunto alla riserva strategica di petrolio da...?" è "31 dicembre" a 25%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 25% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "30 settembre" a 3%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Petrolio venezuelano aggiunto alla riserva strategica di petrolio da...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.