Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Ra'am holding steady near five seats amid the Arab parties' split. After declining to join the reduced Joint List of Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad, Ra'am is running independently following its July separation from the Southern Islamic Movement and its pivot toward a civic platform. The late-August addition of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz to the slate as a technical bloc has not yet shifted projections materially, though it underscores Mansour Abbas's strategy of positioning the party for potential coalition leverage. Fragmented Arab turnout, competition for votes with the Joint List (polling 7–9 seats), and the narrow 3.25% electoral threshold keep outcomes clustered around four to six seats in recent surveys. Trader consensus reflects this stability with limited separation until final list submissions and late-campaign dynamics clarify.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato<4 34%
5 32%
6 31%
4 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
<4
34%
4
28%
5
32%
6
31%
7
22%
8+
25%
<4 34%
5 32%
6 31%
4 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
<4
$0 Vol.
34%
4
$0 Vol.
28%
5
$0 Vol.
32%
6
$0 Vol.
31%
7
$0 Vol.
22%
8+
$0 Vol.
25%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Ra'am holding steady near five seats amid the Arab parties' split. After declining to join the reduced Joint List of Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad, Ra'am is running independently following its July separation from the Southern Islamic Movement and its pivot toward a civic platform. The late-August addition of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz to the slate as a technical bloc has not yet shifted projections materially, though it underscores Mansour Abbas's strategy of positioning the party for potential coalition leverage. Fragmented Arab turnout, competition for votes with the Joint List (polling 7–9 seats), and the narrow 3.25% electoral threshold keep outcomes clustered around four to six seats in recent surveys. Trader consensus reflects this stability with limited separation until final list submissions and late-campaign dynamics clarify.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Ra'am holding steady near five seats amid the Arab parties' split. After declining to join the reduced Joint List of Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad, Ra'am is running independently following its July separation from the Southern Islamic Movement and its pivot toward a civic platform. The late-August addition of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz to the slate as a technical bloc has not yet shifted projections materially, though it underscores Mansour Abbas's strategy of positioning the party for potential coalition leverage. Fragmented Arab turnout, competition for votes with the Joint List (polling 7–9 seats), and the narrow 3.25% electoral threshold keep outcomes clustered around four to six seats in recent surveys. Trader consensus reflects this stability with limited separation until final list submissions and late-campaign dynamics clarify.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$0Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Ra'am holding steady near five seats amid the Arab parties' split. After declining to join the reduced Joint List of Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad, Ra'am is running independently following its July separation from the Southern Islamic Movement and its pivot toward a civic platform. The late-August addition of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz to the slate as a technical bloc has not yet shifted projections materially, though it underscores Mansour Abbas's strategy of positioning the party for potential coalition leverage. Fragmented Arab turnout, competition for votes with the Joint List (polling 7–9 seats), and the narrow 3.25% electoral threshold keep outcomes clustered around four to six seats in recent surveys. Trader consensus reflects this stability with limited separation until final list submissions and late-campaign dynamics clarify.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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